The German Bundesliga resumed with a big bang when Bayern Munchen conceded as many goals in its 1-4 loss at Wolfsburg as it had conceded in the first half of the championship.
One is not interested in backing Bayern Munchen at odds on to get its German Bundesliga campaign back on track with a home victory over Schalke on Tuesday but one cannot resist backing Wolfsburg at odds of -109 with BetVictor to win at defensively vulnerable Frankfurt on the same day.
It may have been one of Bayern Munchen’s most disappointing German Bundesliga displays under Josep Guardiola but one should credit Wolfsburg for making the champion look poor. Wolfsburg had stars performers all over the pitch and none shone brighter than Kevin De Bruyne, who set up Bas Dost for the first of his brace before scoring two goals of his own.
Provided that Frankfurt does not divert from its usual game plan, one expects to see Wolfsburg break open the home team on the counter attack and post its 12th German Bundesliga win out of 18 games. Frankfurt is the German Bundesliga’s most entertaining side to watch, with 35 goals for and 38 goals against in its 18 matches. Those numbers are great for impartial viewers but they do not read so well for Frankfurt fans because their side has conceded more German Bundesliga home goals than any other team and, as everyone knows, defence is what separates good sides from bad sides.
Wolfsburg has a solid reputation for being one of the German Bundesliga’s most enterprising teams but the Wolves have not conceded lots of goals, averaging exactly one goal conceded per game. If Wolfsburg restricts Frankfurt to one goal on Tuesday then one would expect the Wolves to score enough goals of their own to accrue three German Bundesliga points. Frankfurt leaked four goals in its German Bundesliga match at Freiburg on Saturday and it has conceded at least two goals in four of its five league games, only one of which has been an assignment against a side in the top six.
Monchengladbach justified one’s headline selection when the German Bundesliga returned last weekend and one is sticking with the Foals in the midweek round. Monchengladbach won 1-0 at Stuttgart on Saturday and now it is available at odds of -175 with BetVictor and Coral to get the better of Freiburg.
One thinks that Freiburg’s 4-1 home victory over Frankfurt on Saturday – only its third German Bundesliga win – says a lot more about the Eagles than it does about the Brazilians of Breisgau, which is why one is keen to oppose Frankfurt in its match versus Wolfsburg. Freiburg has been miserable on the road in the German Bundesliga, with its 1-0 away win at Koln earned by a penalty kick against the run of play.
Monchengladbach has a relatively clean bill of health but Freiburg’s treatment room is full, with its casualties including its best central defender, Marc-Oliver Kempf.
Leverkusen boss Roger Schmidt has allowed Heung-Min Son to take a holiday after his AFC Asian Cup exertions with the Korea Republic and one thinks that is because the coach is confident that the Bayer-backed team will have Hertha’s measure in their German Bundesliga clash on Wednesday.
Most of Hertha’s recent German Bundesliga results have been horrible, including a 0-5 home loss to Hoffenheim and a 0-2 away loss to Bremen. Leverkusen, which beat Hoffenheim 1-0 on the road four days before Markus Gisdol’s side did a number on Hertha in Berlin, is available at odds of -133 with Boylesports to complete a league double having fought back from 0-1 and 1-2 down to win the reverse fixture 4-2.
With regards to German Bundesliga exotics, the option that stands out is Schalke to have more cards points than Bayern Munchen at odds of -189 with SkyBet. Schalke is averaging 25.56 cards points per German Bundesliga game, with its mean rising to 28.13 cards points for away matches exclusively. Bayern Munchen is averaging 7.78 cards points per German Bundesliga game – yes, that is not a mistake – with its mean falling to 5.56 cards points for home matches exclusively. Schalke won the cards points battle 40-10 when it hosted Bayern Munchen in the German Bundesliga second round.
Wolfsburg to beat Frankfurt
3rd February 19:00 GMT
Where to Bet: BetVictor
Leverkusen to beat Hertha
4th February 19:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Boylesports
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