Wolfsburg too big to beat struggling Stuttgart


Bookmakers must think that Wolfsburg is going to rest on its German Bundesliga laurels because it is seven points clear of Monchengladbach in second spot. That is the only rational explanation as to why Wolfsburg is trading at odds of -213  with Boylesports to beat Stuttgart at home on Saturday.

Wolfsburg has been the subject of several German Bundesliga articles over the last few months and that is because the Wolves have been bankable assets, particularly at home. One cannot resist odds of -213  about Wolfsburg, which boasts the German Bundesliga’s best home record having won 11 and drawn two of its 13 matches in front of its own fans, getting the better of bottom-of-the-ladder Stuttgart for the second time this term. And it is not as if their first clash was close.

Stuttgart hosted Wolfsburg in the 10th round of the German Bundesliga and the result was the most one-sided of that weekend. Ivan Perisic scored Wolfsburg’s first and last goals as the Wolves walloped Stuttgart 4-0, with Kevin De Bruyne starring with one goal and a couple of assists.

That Stuttgart’s German Bundesliga away numbers are better than its home ones is not saying a great deal and, provided that Wolfsburg bring its A game – there is no reason why the Wolves should be distracted because their UEFA Europa League tie versus Napoli does not start until the middle of April – the likely silver medallist should post its 12th home win.

Bremen was staring relegation from the German Bundesliga in the face not all that long ago but it has been one of the division’s form teams in recent times – only Wolfsburg and Bayern Munchen have accrued more points from the last 10 rounds – and it stands out at odds of +145  with BetVictor and Bwin to defeat Mainz on Saturday.

Wolfsburg and Bayern Munchen are head and shoulders above their German Bundesliga rivals this season and there was no shame in Bremen losing at home to them in March. Put a pen through those results and Bremen has won six and drawn one of its last seven German Bundesliga home matches, with its only slip-up being a 3-3 draw with northern rival Hannover.

No German Bundesliga side has won fewer away matches than Mainz and the reverse league fixture resulted in a 2-1 win for Bremen at a time when it could not buy three points. Bremen had drawn four and lost five of its opening nine German Bundesliga games before Franco Di Santo’s brace enabled it to come from behind and beat Mainz in November.

Finally, one’s third German Bundesliga pick pertains to corner kicks in Saturday’s match between Freiburg and Koln.

Bookmakers do not rush to post markets on corner kicks but one thinks that it is reasonable to assume that at least one firm will enable punters to bet on under 10 and a half in the German Bundesliga game between two teams who neither force many corner kicks nor concede many corner kicks.

Freiburg is averaging 4.08 corner kicks for and 4.69 corner kicks against in the German Bundesliga, while Koln’s means are 3.73 corner kicks for and 5.92 corner kicks against. Tha data point to a corner-kick expectation of 9.21, while the reverse German Bundesliga fixture between Koln and Freiburg saw five home corner kicks and two away corner kicks.

Tips Summary

Wolfsburg to beat Stuttgart
4th April 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -213
Where to Bet: Boylesports

Bremen to beat Mainz
4th April 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +145
Where to Bet: BetVictor, Bwin

Freiburg v Koln Under 10.5 Corners
4th April 14:30 GMT
Odds: TBC
Where to Bet: TBC

Kevin De Bruyne

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