Aston Villa beat Birmingham 1-0 last week.

Villains Won’t Do Blues Any Favours in Crunch Games

Aston Villa beat Birmingham 1-0 last week.

There is only one thing that Aston Villa fans love as much as watching their team win and that is seeing Birmingham suffer, hence why one is looking to oppose the Villains against Blackburn in the English Championship.

Unlike Newcastle, Aston Villa has failed to bounce back to the English Premier League at the first attempt and, until the Villains appointed Steve Bruce in October, there was a chance that they would suffer back-to-back relegations and sink into England’s third tier for the first time since 1972. Roberto Di Matteo’s spell in change of Aston Villa proved once and for all that he was an accidental UEFA Champions League-winning manager and it took Bruce to transform the fortunes of the Villains. Aston Villa is 12th on the English Championship ladder but, with two rounds remaining, the Villains cannot finish higher than eighth and that would require numerous results to go in its favour.

The highlight of Aston Villa’s season for many of its fans was its 1-0 English Championship home win over Birmingham last weekend that increased the probability of Blues going down to English League One. Birmingham is one rung and two points above the English Championship relegation zone and Blues have placed their faith in Harry Redknapp, whom they have charged with cleaning up the mess that Gianfranco Zola created during his absolutely dismal spell as their boss.

Birmingham’s English Championship fate is in its own hands but, if Blues fail to beat third-ranked Huddersfield at St Andrew’s on Saturday, they will find themselves in the drop zone if Aston Villa loses its weekend game at Blackburn. It is a tradition in English football that supporters dress up in novelty costumes for their side’s final away match and many thousands of fun-loving Aston Villa fans will make the trip to Blackburn. But will Aston Villa supporters want to see their team lose and, potentially, put Birmingham in the English Championship relegation zone with one round to go? One knows the psyche of football fans such as those of Aston Villa and one would not be surprised if Villains supporters created an atmosphere at Ewood Park in which it was clear that they did not want their side to assist Birmingham.

According to one’s English Championship collateral form analysis, Blackburn trails Aston Villa 7-3-13 and November’s reverse fixture resulted in a 2-1 win for the Villains over Rovers. What those numbers mean is that one is reluctant to take Marathonbet‘s odds of +120  about a plain, old Blackburn victory over Aston Villa – Rovers are slightly too short in the most popular market so one is looking elsewhere for value, which is the overwhelming purpose of this series.

The option in which one is most interested is Blackburn to win to nil versus Aston Villa at odds of +260  with Bet365. Aston Villa is one of the English Championship’s lowest scoring teams and the Villains have been particularly blunt on their travels, netting just 14 goals in their 22 road games. Aston Villa has fired blanks in half of its 22 English Championship away matches, which goes a long way to explaining why the Villains are 4-6-12 outside Villa Park.

Blackburn has lost only three of its last 13 English Championship games so Rovers are not in the form that one would expect of a relegation candidate. Blackburn, which famously won the English Premier League in 1995, has everything for which to play and Aston Villa has a lot of rivalry reasons not to bust a gut trying to beat Rovers.

Tips Summary

Blackburn to beat Aston Villa to Nil
Saturday 29th April, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  +260

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