It is worth waiting for the final game of the eighth Italian Serie A round because Verona constitutes a value bet at a shade of odds-on to beat Benevento at home on Monday.
Many punters will not consider backing Verona because Hellas have yet to post an Italian Serie A win and they are in the relegation zone seven rounds into the competition. But every team has its price and one is convinced that Verona should be shorter than just under even money to get the better of another winless Italian Serie A team, Benevento. At least Verona has drawn some Italian Serie A games and one’s collateral form analysis favours Verona over Benevento.
Seven rounds into the Italian Serie A competition and it is a quirk of the fixture computer that Verona and Benevento have had five common foes – Napoli, Roma, Torino, Sampdoria, and Crotone. Verona has outperformed Benevento in their respective Italian Serie A matches against Napoli, Torino, and Crotone, while the sides have been equal in their efforts versus Roma and Sampdoria. One is confident that Verona is a fair bit better than Benevento so one is interested in odds of -110 with Jetbull.
Another Italian Serie A clash between two teams that have faced five common opponents is Sunday’s game in which Sassuolo hosts Chievo and the draw is worth supporting at +225 with Bet365.
Both Sassuolo and Chievo have encountered Juventus, Lazio, Atalanta, Cagliari and Genoa in the opening seven Italian Serie A rounds and, according to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, the Black and Greens have not fared as well as the Flying Donkeys with the ledger being 3-2-0 in favour of the latter, which are also known as the Yellow and Blues to punters who dislike funny nicknames.
One would not criticise anyone who backed Chievo to claim three Italian Serie A points at Sassuolo because not only does one’s collateral form analysis lean towards the Flying Donkeys but also last season’s head-to-head results favour them. But Sassuolo is backing up from an embarrassing 1-6 Italian Serie A loss at Lazio prior to the international break and one is expecting the Black and Greens to fire up in front of their own fans versus a mid-ranked visitor.
There are several cracking Italian Serie A fixtures this weekend – Juventus against Lazio, Internazionale versus Milan and, one’s third and final match of interest, Roma’s date with Napoli. One rates Napoli above Roma but one does not think that Partenopei should be as short as they are.
First, Roma is identical to Napoli in that both sides have put together five wins on the spin across all competitions. And second, according to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Roma only trails Napoli 0-2-1 based on the respective results of the teams against Atalanta, Verona and Benevento. The draw is the outsider with BetVictor at +260 when one could argue that it is the most likely of the outcomes given the stakes involved in an Italian Serie A game between Roma and Napoli, which are two of the genuine title contenders.
Verona to beat Benevento
Monday 16th October, 19:45 GMT
Sassuolo and Chievo to Draw
Sunday 15th October, 14:00 GMT
Roma and Napoli to Draw
Saturday 14th October, 19:45 GMT