Valencia’s UEFA Champions League aspirations took a midweek hit but the Bats represent the best betting play of Round 35 of the Spanish Primera Division competition as they should take care of business at home to Eibar on Sunday.
Twice Valencia equalised at Atletico Madrid before losing 2-3, a result that saw the Bats end the round three Spanish Primera Division points behind fourth-ranked Getafe. But apart from this month’s 0-2 defeat at Vallecano, Valencia’s recent Spanish Primera Division form has been that of a side worthy of a top-four position and the Bats should have too much class for a Eibar team sliding down the ladder slowly.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Valencia enjoys a 10-4-5 advantage over Eibar, including progressive counts of 5-1-1 and 8-4-4. One only has to look at Eibar’s full set of Spanish Primera Division results to see why the Gunners are so far behind Valencia on one’s collateral form number crunching. Eibar has beaten just 18th-ranked Girona on its Spanish Primera Division travels and the Gunners have won only one of their 12 top-flight games versus sides higher than eighth.
Valencia and Eibar drew 1-1 in December’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture so that head to head favours the Bats and, while the Gunners are not 100 per cent safe from relegation, the odds of them slipping into the drop zone are long so, realistically, the Bats have more from which to play given their proximity to UEFA Champions League spots.
TOP TIP! – Valencia to beat Eibar @ 1/21.50-2000.50-2.000.50 with Black Type
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Atletico Madrid v Valladolid – 27th April – 15:15 BST
TOP TIP! – Atletico Madrid to beat Valladolid @ 19/501.38-2630.38-2.630.38
It was Atletico Madrid which made life hard for Valencia in midweek and one thinks the Mattressmen will make short work of Valladolid in one of the four Spanish Primera Division matches scheduled for Saturday, albeit at short odds at 19/501.38-2630.38-2.630.38 with Betway.
Atletico Madrid must not lose to Valladolid otherwise the Spanish Primera Division title will go to Barcelona before Barca lines up against Levante later on Saturday. While the Spanish Primera Division championship is little more than a dream for Atletico Madrid, finishing above Real Madrid on the ladder is a realistic target given the Mattressmen are six points ahead of the Meringues with four rounds to go.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Atletico Madrid’s lead over Valladolid stands at 14-3-2, including progressive counts of 4-2-0 and 11-3-1. Atletico Madrid beat Valladolid 3-2 in December’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture and, while the White and Violets would love three points to ease their relegation worries, they 0-5-8 versus the league’s top eight teams.
Diego Costa remains banned and Atletico Madrid continue to be without Jose Gimenez and Lucas Hernandez but Valladolid have eight squad members out of action and one more listed as doubtful leading into one of its toughest assignments.
Leganes v Celta – 27th April – 17:30 BST
TOP TIP! – Leganes to beat Celta @ 3/22.50+1501.501.50-0.67
Wrapping up one’s Spanish Primera Division picks is Leganes at 3/22.50+1501.501.50-0.67 with Bet365because, even though Celta’s need for points is greater, the odds bookmakers are quoting do not tally with one’s ratings.
Leganes, which drew 0-0 at Celta when the sides met in the Spanish Primera Division four months ago, boasts a 13-0-6 collateral form edge over its Saturday guest, including progressive counts of 4-0-0, 8-0-1, 10-0-3 and 12-0-4. Leganes has lost each of its last two Spanish Primera Division games and Celta is able to call upon the services of its star player, Iago Aspas, but one’s tissue prices are wildly different to the odds available in the real world.
COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES
Atletico Madrid 14-3-2
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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