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Valencia Bats out of Hell and Flying up the Ladder
Eric Roberts 2016-04-18 in Football Tips
Valencia has had two eye-catching Spanish Primera Division results since it sacked Gary Neville and one is betting on the Bats winning their third league match in a row when they entertain the top-half’s worst team, Eibar, on Wednesday.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Valencia and Eibar cannot be split on 8-3-8 but that does not tell the whole story, First, Valencia earned a 1-1 draw at Eibar in the reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture four months ago. And second, Valencia’s Spanish Primera Division record against the league’s talented sides is far superior to that of Eibar. Valencia has outperformed Eibar versus each of Atletico Madrid, Barcelona and Real Madrid, plus the Bats enjoy a 7-1-1 lead over the Gunners when one focuses on games featuring the top nine teams.
Qualification for the UEFA Europa League as good as out of reach of Valencia and Eibar but the Bats have a lot for which to play having been so disappointing in the first three-quarters of the season. Pako Aysteran has got until the end of Valencia’s Spanish Primera Division campaign to convince Bats bosses that he is worth offering a contract and he would have done his long-term job prospects no harm whatsoever by leading his side to a 2-1 win at Barcelona.
On its day Valencia is one of the Spanish Primera Division’s best teams and it really ought to be higher on the ladder than 12th. Ninth-ranked Eibar is punching well above its weight and its Spanish Primera Division record against sides in the top 12 is 3-5-13, including being 1-2-7 on the road.
Some Spanish Primera Division punters may view Valencia as too short at odds of 67/1001.67-1490.67-1.490.67 with Paddy Power and William Hill to beat Eibar but one thinks that the Bats will be too good for the Gunners at one of Spain’s most intimidating grounds. Valencia does boast one hell of a home advantage.
The Spanish Primera Division title race is back on after Barcelona’s three consecutive league losses and Atletico Madrid can smell blood. Atletico is available at odds of 11/102.10+1101.101.10-0.91 with William Hill to win at injury-hit Athletic on Wednesday and one can make a good case for the Mattressers.
Athletic’s talismanic striker, Aritz Aduriz, is unlikely to suit up for the Lions due to a knock that he sustained in their UEFA Europa League epic versus Sevilla. Athletic won 1-0 at Malaga in Spanish Primera Division action on Sunday but the Lions scored against the run of play and they held on for dear life towards the end. Athletic trails Atletico Madrid 4-2-13 according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form data, including losing December’s reverse fixture 1-2. And the news for Athletic gets worse when one digs deeper. Athletic trails Atletico 0-0-6, 1-0-9 and 2-1-13, depending upon how far one works down the ladder.
Atletico Madrid must finish the Spanish Primera Division with more points than Barcelona to win the championship because the Mattressers have a losing head-to-head record versus Barca. Therefore, Atletico Madrid cannot afford to settle for one Spanish Primera Division point at Athletic and the Mattressers will be having a red-hot crack at three.
Getafe is an abysmal 1-2-13 away from home in the Spanish Primera Division and its one road victory was at fellow relegation candidate Gijon in January. Sociedad will host Getafe in the 34th round of the Spanish Primera Division on Thursday and La Real are worth supporting at odds of 14/251.56-1790.56-1.790.56 with Marathonbet. Sociedad drew 1-1 at Getafe in December’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture and La Real hold a 13-1-5 collateral form lead over their travel-sick guests.
Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 34’s 10 matches. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Betis 5-1-13* versus Las Palmas
Espanyol 7-1-11* versus Celta
Athletic 4-2-13* versus Atletico Madrid
Deportivo 3*-2-14 versus Barcelona
Gijon 4-1-14* versus Sevilla
Malaga 11*2-6 versus Vallecano
Real Madrid 12-2-5* versus Villarreal
Valencia 8*-3-8 versus Eibar
Granada 7*-2-10 versus Levante
Sociedad 13*-1-5 versus Getafe
Valencia to beat Eibar
Wednesday 20th April, 19:45 GMT
Atletico Madrid to beat Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday 20th April, 19:45 GMT
Real Sociedad to beat Getafe
Thursday 21st April, 19:30 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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