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Exotic bets are what leap off the German Bundesliga coupon for the 10th round of matches, with the pick of the options being under two and a half goals in Saturday’s game between stuck-in-its-ways Ingolstadt and fifth-placed Hertha.
Ingolstadt is in nosebleed territory nine rounds into the German Bundesliga competition, occupying eight position on the ladder in its first-ever top-flight campaign. No German Bundesliga team has scored fewer goals than Ingolstadt but the Schanzer are flying high because their defensive record is second only to that of Bayern Munchen and there is no shame in playing second fiddle to the perfect champion.
One does not expect Ingolstadt boss Ralph Hasenhuttl to move away from the tactics that have served the Schanzer so well up to this point and that is a boon for punters who like to bet on under two and a half goals, particularly when the promoted side encounters another low-scoring team. That is what will happen when Ingolstadt hosts Hertha on Saturday.
Hertha is the most goal-shy of the German Bundesliga’s top six sides, finding the back of the net just 12 times in its nine matches even though it has won four of them. Away from Berlin is where Hertha is especially toothless, scoring only four goals in its five road games. Marathonbet is offering odds of -139 about Ingolstadt and Hertha combining for fewer than three goals on Sunday and it is mighty difficult to make a case for betting on the match going over the popular line.
Sticking with exotic theme and one likes the idea of backing over 10 and a half corner kicks in Saturday’s game between Leverkusen and Stuttgart. Bookmakers tend not to go up with corners markets until approximately 48 hours before kick off but one thinks that it will be worth the wait for odds about Leverkusen and Stuttgart taking part in a corners festival.
Leverkusen has taken a German Bundesliga-leading 68 corner kicks in the first nine rounds and Stuttgart is ranked a clear second on 67 corners – Mainz is next in order on 47. The knock on backing Leverkusen and Stuttgart to combine for more than 10 corners on Saturday is that neither team has conceded many of the set pieces. Indeed, both Leverkusen and Stuttgart have given up 31 corners. That explains why, in spite of their own big numbers, some of their matches have ended under the common line. However, one thinks that the propensity of Leverkusen and Stuttgart to force corners is likely to outweigh the propensity of the sides to concede them in limited numbers when they go head to head. Update: 888Sport and Unibet are going +107 for over 10.5 corners, and that’s a line that we like.
Finally, one likes Marathon’s odds of -164 about Leverkusen collecting three German Bundesliga points from its home game versus Stuttgart on Saturday. Stuttgart was one’s headline German Bundesliga selection last weekend because one thought – and still one thinks – that the Reds were in a false rung on the ladder. However, Leverkusen is a much more dangerous opponent than Ingolstadt and one expects the hot favourite’s all-action style to place Stuttgart under more pressure than it can handle. Stuttgart got away with its defensive issues against Ingolstadt but the odds are that Leverkusen will be able to find gaps in the Reds rearguard and exploit them.
Ingolstadt v Hertha Under 2.5 goals
24th October 17:30 GMT
Leverkusen v Stuttgart Over 10.5 goals
24th October 14:30 GMT
Leverkusen to beat Stuttgart
24th October 14:30 GMT
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