There are two good ways to approach the English Premier League game between Chelsea and Queens Park Rangers from a punting perspective: one at odds on and one at odds against.
One will start with the odds-on play, which is Chelsea to beat Queens Park Rangers without conceding a goal.
Queens Park Rangers has lifted itself of the bottom of the English Premier League ladder and taken some of the pressure off its manager, Harry Redknapp, but a 2-0 home win over Aston Villa is nothing about which to get all that excited. Queens Park Rangers has lost each of its five away matches across all competitions, scoring the sum total of one goal.
Chelsea is the English Premier League title favourite and rightly so. Chelsea has won each of its last three home games across all competitions without conceding a goal and the Blues have won three of their four English Premier League home matches to nil. BetVictor‘s odds of 39/501.78-1280.78-1.280.78 about Chelsea beating Queens Park Rangers and not allowing the Super Hoops to score at Stamford Bridge are over the top.
Now for the odds-against play, which is Chelsea star Diego Costa to opening the scoring against Queens Park Rangers.
Costa has scored seven goals in nine English Premier League appearances for Chelsea, scoring the first goal of the game – for betting purposes, at least – on three occasions. One thinks that there is a great deal of sense to backing Costa to score the first goal of any Chelsea home match versus a team stuck towards the bottom of the English Premier League ladder. Chelsea is very short odds to opening the scoring in such games and Costa is its most likely scorer. Several bookmakers, including Betfred, Boylesports and Coral, are offering odds of 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40 that Costa breaks the deadlock for Chelsea against Queens Park Rangers – any odds higher than 3.00 are more than acceptable about this exotic option.
Bwin is quoting odds of 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40 about what thinks is a highly likely outcome for the English Premier League derby between Manchester City and Manchester United: a Citizens victory in which both teams hit the back of the net at least once.
Manchester City beat Manchester United home and away in last season’s English Premier League and one expects the Citizens to be a popular head-to-head pick at odds not far off evens. However, Manchester City has not kept many clean sheets in recent times – for example, it has conceded goals in seven of its nine English Premier League matches – and Manchester United’s statistics support the argument that the Red Devils are excellent going forward even though they are hopeless at the back. Manchester United has scored in eight of its nine English Premier League games but kept just two clean sheets.
The English Premier League derby between Manchester City and Manchester United promises to be a thrill-a-minute encounter and, in light of the aforementioned numbers, supporting the Citizens at odds on is less enticing than backing them to beat the Red Devils in a double with both sides to score.
Finally, surely Newcastle is worth a nibble at odds of 31/104.10+3103.103.10-0.32 with BetVictor to get the better of Liverpool in their English Premier League match at St James’ Park. That Liverpool is odds on with some bookmakers beggars belief given the form of the Reds and the poor performances of Mario Balotelli up front.
It is not as though Liverpool dominated Newcastle in their English Premier League meetings last term. The St James’ Park clash resulted in a 2-2 draw but Newcastle led 1-0 before Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa was sent off in the 40th minute. And Newcastle led 1-0 at Anfield until everything went pear shaped midway through the second half, Liverpool scoring two goals in three minutes and the Magpies having the first of two players expelled. Newcastle is over the odds to beat Liverpool and extend its winning streak to three games.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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