Trends point to Barcelona beating Getafe to nil

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There is a strong case for backing Barcelona to beat Getafe without conceding a goal at the Camp Nou in the first game of the 34th round of Spanish Primera Division matches.

Barcelona lost the Spanish Primera Division title on home turf in the final game of last season so one thinks that complacency is unlikely to set in as Barca try to clinch their 23rd domestic championship. Getafe is 13th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder but Barcelona coach Luis Enrique will be at great pains to remind Barca’s players that all wins, regardless of opponent, are worth three points. One expects Barcelona to be switched on fully.

Barcelona has won 14 of its 16 Spanish Primera Division home matches, including eight victories with clean sheets. Dig a bit deeper and one finds that Barcelona has not conceded a Spanish Primera Division home goal to a team placed below 12th on the ladder and the side that scored was relatively high-scoring Vallecano from the penalty mark in a 1-6 loss.

The numbers stack up for one’s suggested bet on the Getafe side of the equation as well. Getafe has not been thrashed by any of the Spanish Primera Division’s top four teams but the Deep Blues have not given their supporters much about which to cheer, either. Getafe has failed to score in each of its six Spanish Primera Division games against Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Valencia, conceding 10 goals and earning one point. That Spanish Primera Division point came from its 0-0 home draw versus Barcelona, a match in which Barca did everything except hit the back of the net as Getafe contributed almost nothing in a positive sense.

Barcelona left back Jordi Alba is suspended for Tuesday’s Spanish Primera Division match against Getafe after being sent off in Barca’s 2-0 win at Espanyol. Getafe’s problems are much greater than those of Barcelona, though, because its top scorer, Alvaro Vazquez, is recovering from shoulder surgery and its assists leader, Pablo Sarabia, has not been listed in its squad for its game at the title favourite.

Some punters will steam into Barcelona on handicap lines to thrash Getafe but one thinks that backing Barca to win to nil at odds of -189 with SkyBet represents not only the best bet on the Spanish Primera Division match but also the best bet in the round that runs from Tuesday to Thursday.

Villarreal’s squad is one of the smallest in the Spanish Primera Division and Yellow Submarine boss Marcelinho has a casualty list that would cripple sides with more resources. Atletico Madrid is Villarreal’s Spanish Primera Division guest on Wednesday and one is keen to get with the title holder at odds of +130 with SkyBet and WilliamHill.

Atletico Madrid bounced back from its UEFA Champions League loss to Real Madrid with a 3-0 Spanish Primera Division home win over Elche and Diego Simeone’s team talk for Wednesday’s game at Villarreal ought to be a simple one: go out and gain revenge for your 0-1 home loss to the Yellow Submarine in which football showed that it can be a very cruel sport.

Villarreal’s injuries and suspensions have impacted greatly on its recent performances, with the Yellow Submarine on a run of five draws and four losses across all competitions since they beat Celta 4-1 in the Spanish Primera Division.

Finally, the Spanish Primera Division derby between Athletic and Sociedad on Tuesday is interesting because of the poor managerial record of David Moyes in massive away matches.

Moyes did not coach Everton to win at Liverpool at any point in his 11 years as Toffees manager and everyone knows what happened when Manchester United, at the behest of outgoing boss Alex Ferguson, installed the Scot at Old Trafford – the Red Devils went from champs to chumps in double-quick time.

Sociedad is without a win in its last five Spanish Primera Division games and its away record is the second worst in the league, which is terrible for the 12th-placed side.

Athletic has won four of its last five Spanish Primera Division home matches, including beating Real Madrid 1-0, and odds of -133 with SkyBet are worth snapping up.

Tips Summary

Barcelona to beat Getafe to nil
28th April 19:00 GMT
Odds:  -189
Where to Bet: SkyBet

Atletico Madrid to beat Villarreal
29th April 21:00 GMT
Odds:  +130
Where to Bet: SkyBet, WilliamHill

Athletic to beat Sociedad
28th April 21:00 GMT
Odds:  -133
Where to Bet: SkyBet

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