The dictionary definition of a minefield round for punters is one in which only four of the 10 Italian Serie A matches are significant with regards to either qualifying for UEFA competitions or avoiding relegation to Italy’s second tier.
Italian Serie A is difficult towards the end of a season at the best of times but this weekend’s card, which has been split into two Saturday games and eight on Sunday, is even harder than one has come to expect in the month of May.
None of the four Italian Serie A matches that carry some degree of importance leap off the coupon from a betting perspective so has chosen, somewhat reluctantly, to focus on some of the games that are, on face value, dead rubbers.
Torino and Sassuolo will face off in one of Sunday’s eight Italian Serie A matches and one thinks that there is a case for backing the Maroons to win and both teams to score, a play that Bwin are listing at odds of +140 .
Just two rungs and four points separate Torino and Sassuolo on the Italian Serie A ladder after 37 rounds but, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the difference between the Maroons and the Black and Greens should be a lot more. Torino holds a 12-1-6 Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Sassuolo and the Maroons drew 0-0 at the Black and Greens when the reverse fixture took place in January.
Both sides have found the back of the net in 29 of Torino’s 37 Italian Serie A games, including 15 of its 18 home matches. Torino has not kept a clean sheet in an Italian Serie A game since drawing 0-0 at Sassuolo 18 matches ago and both teams have scored in 16 of those clashes. Both sides have rustled the onion bag in 24 of Sassuolo’s 37 Italian Serie A matches, including 15 of its 18 away games. Sassuolo has not shut out an opponent in any of its last 10 Italian Serie A matches and both teams have scored in nine of those battles. The statistics point to one’s selection.
Atalanta has had a wow of an Italian Serie A campaign and one thinks that the Goddess will get the chocolates in their home game against a depleted Chievo side on Saturday.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, fifth-placed Atalanta boasts an 11-2-6 edge over 14th-placed Chievo and the Flying Donkeys will line up without several players, including suspended duo Lucas Castro and Ivan Radovanovic. Atalanta thrashed Chievo 4-1 on the road in January’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture and, provided that the Goddess are switched on, they should be too good for the Flying Donkeys at odds of -323 with Marathonbet.
Finally and unusually, one is going to throw the formbook out of the window and take a long-priced punt on Cagliari winning its Sunday home match versus Milan.
Cagliari is 13th on the Italian Serie A ladder, safe from relegation and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Red and Blues are definitely inferior to Milan. Cagliari trails Milan 5-2-12 on one’s Italian Serie A collateral form numbers but the Red and Blues were highly competitive for 88 minutes in January’s reverse fixture before Carlos Bacca put the Red and Blacks ahead. Furthermore, Cagliari’s Italian Serie A home statistics of 10-3-5 are equal to those of Internazionale and better than the away numbers of Milan, which stand at 6-7-5 and include zero road victories over teams ranked than 10th. And it is inescapable that Milan has achieved its major objective with one Italian Serie A round remaining, qualifying for the UEFA Europa League and being incapable of finishing anywhere other than in sixth spot.
Milan makes absolutely no appeal at odds-on quotes to win a meaningless Italian Serie A game versus a Cagliari side that has proven itself as being a tough opponent in front of its own supporters. Cagliari is worth a speculative bet at odds of +280 with BetVictor to beat Milan even though its Bruno Alves, Mauricio Isla and Marco Sau will be serving bans.
Torino to beat Sassuolo and Both teams to score
Sunday 28th May, 19:45 GMT
Atalanta to beat Chievo
Saturday 27th May, 17:00 GMT
Cagliari to beat AC Milan
Sunday 28th May, 14:00 GMT