Torino versus Roma to be light on goals

roma

Thrill seekers should not settle down to watch the Italian Serie A match between Torino and Roma on Sunday because the game is likely to be light on goalmouth action and goals.

One thinks that the best bet on the Italian Serie A coupon is the match between Torino and Roma going under two and a half goals, with any number of statistics pointing to odds of -161  with several bookmakers, including Bwin and Ladbrokes, representing an excellent punting investment.

No Italian Serie A side has featured in more games that have gone under two and a half goals than Roma, which is batting at 20-9, including 10-4 on the road. And when it comes to low-scoring Italian Serie A home matches there is no team that can match Torino, with 11 of its 14 games going under two and a half goals. It is a good job that Roma and Torino are second and seventh respectively on the Italian Serie A ladder, otherwise their supporters would be filthy on them for providing second-rate entertainment this season.

About the only knock on backing under two and a half goals is that the reverse Italian Serie A fixture between Torino and Roma resulted in 3-0 home win for the Wolves. But one would not be recommending such a bet if Saturday’s rematch was taking place in the capital because the numbers would not stack up with Roma at home and Torino on the road.

Juventus is short odds to win at bottom-of-the-ladder Parma on Saturday but one thinks that there is better value in backing the Old Lady to triumph without conceding a goal.

November’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture between Parma and Juventus ended in a 7-0 home win for Juve in which three of their players – Fernando Llorente, Alvaro Morata and Carlos Tevez – bagged braces. Juventus beat Fiorentina 3-0 away on Tuesday to qualify for the Italian Coppa Italia final (hopefully you followed our Juve tip at +350 ) and, in doing so, made it six wins to nil in a row across all competitions, all of them recorded versus stronger sides than Parma, which is doomed to drop into Italian Serie B.

Most Italian Serie A games featuring Juventus as the away team have gone under two and a half goals – nine out of 14 to be precise – so there is a decent argument for dutching selected scores rather than steaming into odds of -110  with PaddyPower about Juve defeating Parma to nil. Dutching Juventus 1-0 at odds of +550  with WilliamHill and Juventus 2-0 at odds of +525  with Unibet produces an appealing bet at odds of around +219 . Chuck in Juventus 3-0 at odds of +700  with BetVictor and PaddyPower and one still has a bet that generates odds of around +128 . If one had to choose one of those bets it would be dutching Juventus 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 because Parma is a very poor side.

Finally, Verona is overpriced to get something out of its Italian Serie A home match against Internazionale on Saturday because Inter are trading as false favourites.

Internazionale, which failed to get the better of Verona in the reverse Italian Serie A fixture at the San Siro, has gone seven games without a win across all competitions and its most recent victory was a rather unconvincing 1-0 home defeat of Celtic in the UEFA Europa League. It is stupid that bookmakers have gone up with Internazionale at odds as short as +115  to end its lengthy winless streak at Verona.

Bet365 and Ladbrokes are offering odds of -143  that Verona, which is a paltry five points behind Internazionale on the Italian Serie A ladder, avoid defeat on its home pitch. Those odds are somewhat generous in the circumstances.

Tips Summary

Torino v Roma Under 2.5 goals
12th April 14:00 GMT
Odds:  -161
Where to Bet: Bwin, Ladbrokes

Juventus to beat Parma to nil / dutched scorelines
11th April 17:00 GMT
Odds:  -110  /  +128
Where to Bet: PaddyPowerWilliamHillBetVictorUnibet

Verona win/draw v Inter
11th April 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -143
Where to Bet: Bet365Ladbrokes

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