Torino versus Roma to be light on goals
Thrill seekers should not settle down to watch the Italian Serie A match between Torino and Roma on Sunday because the game is likely to be light on goalmouth action and goals.
One thinks that the best bet on the Italian Serie A coupon is the match between Torino and Roma going under two and a half goals, with any number of statistics pointing to odds of 1.62Bet €100 to win €16231/50Bet £100 to win £162-161Bet $100 to win $1620.62Bet HK$100 to win HK$162-1.61Bet Rp100 to win Rp1620.6200Bet RM100 to win RM162 with several bookmakers, including Bwin and Ladbrokes, representing an excellent punting investment.
No Italian Serie A side has featured in more games that have gone under two and a half goals than Roma, which is batting at 20-9, including 10-4 on the road. And when it comes to low-scoring Italian Serie A home matches there is no team that can match Torino, with 11 of its 14 games going under two and a half goals. It is a good job that Roma and Torino are second and seventh respectively on the Italian Serie A ladder, otherwise their supporters would be filthy on them for providing second-rate entertainment this season.
About the only knock on backing under two and a half goals is that the reverse Italian Serie A fixture between Torino and Roma resulted in 3-0 home win for the Wolves. But one would not be recommending such a bet if Saturday’s rematch was taking place in the capital because the numbers would not stack up with Roma at home and Torino on the road.
Juventus is short odds to win at bottom-of-the-ladder Parma on Saturday but one thinks that there is better value in backing the Old Lady to triumph without conceding a goal.
November’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture between Parma and Juventus ended in a 7-0 home win for Juve in which three of their players – Fernando Llorente, Alvaro Morata and Carlos Tevez – bagged braces. Juventus beat Fiorentina 3-0 away on Tuesday to qualify for the Italian Coppa Italia final (hopefully you followed our Juve tip at 4.50Bet €100 to win €4507/2Bet £100 to win £450+350Bet $100 to win $4503.50Bet HK$100 to win HK$4503.50Bet Rp100 to win Rp450-0.2857Bet RM100 to win RM450) and, in doing so, made it six wins to nil in a row across all competitions, all of them recorded versus stronger sides than Parma, which is doomed to drop into Italian Serie B.
Most Italian Serie A games featuring Juventus as the away team have gone under two and a half goals – nine out of 14 to be precise – so there is a decent argument for dutching selected scores rather than steaming into odds of 1.91Bet €100 to win €19191/100Bet £100 to win £191-110Bet $100 to win $1910.91Bet HK$100 to win HK$191-1.10Bet Rp100 to win Rp1910.9100Bet RM100 to win RM191 with PaddyPower about Juve defeating Parma to nil. Dutching Juventus 1-0 at odds of 6.50Bet €100 to win €65011/2Bet £100 to win £650+550Bet $100 to win $6505.50Bet HK$100 to win HK$6505.50Bet Rp100 to win Rp650-0.1818Bet RM100 to win RM650 with WilliamHill and Juventus 2-0 at odds of 6.25Bet €100 to win €62521/4Bet £100 to win £625+525Bet $100 to win $6255.25Bet HK$100 to win HK$6255.25Bet Rp100 to win Rp625-0.1905Bet RM100 to win RM625 with Unibet produces an appealing bet at odds of around 3.19Bet €100 to win €319219/100Bet £100 to win £319+219Bet $100 to win $3192.19Bet HK$100 to win HK$3192.19Bet Rp100 to win Rp319-0.4566Bet RM100 to win RM319. Chuck in Juventus 3-0 at odds of 8.00Bet €100 to win €8007/1Bet £100 to win £800+700Bet $100 to win $8007.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$8007.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp800-0.1429Bet RM100 to win RM800 with BetVictor and PaddyPower and one still has a bet that generates odds of around 2.28Bet €100 to win €22832/25Bet £100 to win £228+128Bet $100 to win $2281.28Bet HK$100 to win HK$2281.28Bet Rp100 to win Rp228-0.7813Bet RM100 to win RM228. If one had to choose one of those bets it would be dutching Juventus 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 because Parma is a very poor side.
Finally, Verona is overpriced to get something out of its Italian Serie A home match against Internazionale on Saturday because Inter are trading as false favourites.
Internazionale, which failed to get the better of Verona in the reverse Italian Serie A fixture at the San Siro, has gone seven games without a win across all competitions and its most recent victory was a rather unconvincing 1-0 home defeat of Celtic in the UEFA Europa League. It is stupid that bookmakers have gone up with Internazionale at odds as short as 2.15Bet €100 to win €21523/20Bet £100 to win £215+115Bet $100 to win $2151.15Bet HK$100 to win HK$2151.15Bet Rp100 to win Rp215-0.8696Bet RM100 to win RM215 to end its lengthy winless streak at Verona.
Bet365 and Ladbrokes are offering odds of 1.70Bet €100 to win €1707/10Bet £100 to win £170-143Bet $100 to win $1700.70Bet HK$100 to win HK$170-1.43Bet Rp100 to win Rp1700.7000Bet RM100 to win RM170 that Verona, which is a paltry five points behind Internazionale on the Italian Serie A ladder, avoid defeat on its home pitch. Those odds are somewhat generous in the circumstances.
Torino v Roma Under 2.5 goals
12th April 14:00 GMT
Odds: 1.62Bet €100 to win €16231/50Bet £100 to win £162-161Bet $100 to win $1620.62Bet HK$100 to win HK$162-1.61Bet Rp100 to win Rp1620.6200Bet RM100 to win RM162
Where to Bet: Bwin, Ladbrokes
Juventus to beat Parma to nil / dutched scorelines
11th April 17:00 GMT
Odds: 1.91Bet €100 to win €19191/100Bet £100 to win £191-110Bet $100 to win $1910.91Bet HK$100 to win HK$191-1.10Bet Rp100 to win Rp1910.9100Bet RM100 to win RM191 / 2.28Bet €100 to win €22832/25Bet £100 to win £228+128Bet $100 to win $2281.28Bet HK$100 to win HK$2281.28Bet Rp100 to win Rp228-0.7813Bet RM100 to win RM228
Where to Bet: PaddyPower, WilliamHill, BetVictor, Unibet
Verona win/draw v Inter
11th April 19:45 GMT
Odds: 1.70Bet €100 to win €1707/10Bet £100 to win £170-143Bet $100 to win $1700.70Bet HK$100 to win HK$170-1.43Bet Rp100 to win Rp1700.7000Bet RM100 to win RM170
Where to Bet: Bet365, Ladbrokes
- Italian Serie A
- Italian Serie B
- San Siro