The double-chance markets are the ones that appeal most with regards to the seventh round of Spanish Primera Division matches as several of the outsiders are overpriced.
Top of one’s Spanish Primera Division list this weekend is Valencia, which will entertain Atletico Madrid in Sunday’s early game.
One is not getting carried away with Valencia’s rise up the Spanish Primera Division ladder because, when all is said and done, the teams that the Bats have beaten are promoted sides Alaves and Leganes. But it is interesting that those two Spanish Primera Division newcomers have encountered Atletico Madrid as well and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, Valencia has outperformed the Mattressers.
The Spanish Primera Division season is nearing the point at which one thinks that collateral form analysis comes into its own in the search for value bets. Sometimes divisional ladders are misleading for large chunks of tournaments but collateral form analysis compares apples with apples.
Not only has Atletico Madrid performed worse versus Alaves and Leganes than Valencia but also the Mattressers have to back up from a UEFA Champions League assignment against Bayern Munchen. One was in Atletico’s camp for that cup match on Wednesday because bookmakers underestimated its chance of winning but one is opposing Diego Simeone’s charges on Sunday because the opposite is occurring.
Valencia is trading at odds of 49/501.98-1020.98-1.020.98 with 888Sport and Unibet to avoid defeat and that strikes one as a better option than backing Atletico at similar prices.
Osasuna is bottom of the Spanish Primera Division after six rounds but one thinks that the Reds are capable of getting something out of their Saturday home game versus Las Palmas.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Osasuna trails Las Palmas 0-2-1 with the Reds faring as well as the Yellows against Malaga and Sociedad. Osasuna did not perform as well versus Real Madrid as Las Palmas but, as one pointed out in this weekend’s German Bundesliga preview, sometimes it makes sense not to read much into collateral form lines featuring sides that are head and shoulders above most of their domestic rivals.
Osasuna is available at odds of 53/1001.53-1890.53-1.890.53 with Bet365 to either beat or draw with a Las Palmas team that may line up without its former Boca Juniors striker, Sergio Araujo, after he was accused of drink driving. Also, the Spanish Primera Division shot statistics for Las Palmas are alarming – no side has had fewer shots and just Betis has allowed more shots.
Finally, there is an undeniable collateral form argument for backing Gijon not to lose its Spanish Primera Division away match against Deportivo that will take place on Saturday.
Both Gijon and Deportivo have encountered Alaves, Athletic, Atletico Madrid and Leganes in the Spanish Primera Division, with one’s collateral form analysis favouring the Red and Whites over the Blues and Whites by a 2-1-1 margin. Also, Gijon accrued four points from its two Spanish Primera Division games versus Deportivo last term, including registering a 3-2 win in the corresponding fixture.
With 888Sport and Unibet offering odds of 22/251.88-1140.88-1.140.88 about Gijon avoiding defeat at Deportivo, that option rates as one’s third and final Spanish Primera Division selection.
Valencia or Draw
Sunday 2nd October, 11:00 GMT
Osasuna or Draw
Saturday 1st October, 17:30 GMT
Gijon or Draw
Saturday 1st October, 19:45 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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