The UEFA European Championship qualifying campaign resumes this week and, out of the 26 matches scheduled for Friday, Saturday and Sunday, the best bet is Switzerland at odds of -175 with SkyBet to win on the road in Lithuania.
Switzerland dug itself a UEFA European Championship hole by losing its first two Group E games before bouncing back into contention with three consecutive wins to nil, including a 4-0 home victory over Lithuania in November. It took 66 minutes for Switzerland’s superiority to result in a goal but the floodgates opened after Josip Drmic broke the deadlock and the final score was a fair reflection.
Lithuania has notched just three goals in its five UEFA European Championship Group E matches and all five of them were at the expense of the section’s whipping boys, Estonia and San Marino. Lithuania lost 0-2 at home to Slovenia in October and that is the type of result that one would expect to see when Switzerland plays in Vilnius on Sunday.
It is a must-win game for Switzerland, which FIFA ranks as the world’s 11th best team compared to Lithuania in 96th spot, if it wants to have a chance of qualifying for the UEFA European Championship without needing the play-offs.
Denmark defeated Serbia 3-1 in Belgrade yet one can back the Danes at odds of +120 with Betfred and Ladbrokes to do the double over their UEFA European Championship Group I rivals on Saturday, odds that appear somewhat generous.
UEFA European Championship Group I contains only five sides so there is not much hope of Serbia, which has accrued just one point from its opening four matches – UEFA took three points off the Serbians for their part in October’s game against Albania that did not make it past the 41st minute – getting back into the qualification race as things stand.
So not only does Denmark boast a clear head-to-head lead over Serbia but also Saturday’s away team may not have its head in the right place for what shapes as a tough test.
As is often the case with UEFA European Championship cards, there is no shortage of short-priced favourites whom punters may throw into large accumulator wagers. Multiple bets are a bookmaker’s benefit – for example, there are 243 possible outcomes in a five-leg football accumulator and bookmakers have 242 of them on their side – but one can understand if one wants to back some of the teams at long odds on.
Poland is one’s idea of the best UEFA European Championship hotpot, with Ladbrokes standing out from the crowd by listing it at odds of -345 to beat Georgia on Saturday.
The reverse UEFA European Championship Group D match between Poland and Georgia in November resulted in a 4-0 away win for the Poles, their dominance rewarded by four second-half goals. Georgia did not manage to get an attempt on target during the game in Tbilisi and its hopes of qualifying for the big show are zero because it is at least five points behind Poland, Germany, Scotland and Ireland in the pool.
The good thing about backing Poland to defeat Georgia is that there is no room for complacency in the Polish camp because of the UEFA European Championship Group D ladder. Poland, Germany, Scotland and Ireland are fighting over two automatic places in the tournament and, while it would be a shock if the Germans did not lock up one of those positions, it is anyone’s guess as to which other side will progress.
Switzerland to beat Lithuania
14th June 19:45 GMT
Where to Bet: SkyBet
Poland to beat Georgia
13th June 17:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Ladbrokes
Once or twice per month we will provide you with the latest sports tips and keep you updated about the biggest events.