Tottenham can tip Manchester City into a full-blown crisis by winning the English Premier League match of the round between the title contenders at the Etihad Stadium.
Ten points off the English Premier League pace that it set until early November, Manchester City has gone from being the champion-elect to bookmakers quoting attractive odds about it even qualifying for the UEFA Champions League.
One of the English Premier League cliches is that defences win trophies; it is a cliche because it is true. Manchester City has conceded 26 goals in its 21 English Premier League games, keeping just four clean sheets – two at home and two on its travels. West Bromwich, Bournemouth, Watford and Hull are the four English Premier League sides that Manchester City has shut out and none of them is ranked in the top seven – the Citizens are incapable of leaking goals when they encounter teams as talented as Tottenham.
The fixtures in the 22nd round of the English Premier League are such that, if Manchester City loses to Tottenham, the Citizens are likely to find themselves five points adrift of the UEFA Champions League qualification zone and still with trips to Chelsea and April to come in the space of an April week. One would rule out Manchester City’s chance of winning the English Premier League crown in Pep Guardiola’s first season and the top four would be out of easy reach also.
Tottenham boasts the English Premier League’s best defence and Spurs have scored in all bar two of their 21 top-flight matches so the odds are stacked in favour of them finding a way past Manchester City’s sweeper-keeper, Claudio Bravo. Saturday’s English Premier League game presents Tottenham with an opportunity to apply the blowtorch to Manchester City and their increasingly under-pressure manager.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Tottenham holds a 9-3-7 lead over Manchester City and that includes Spurs defeating the Citizens 2-0 three months ago. Manchester City has bashed up several of the English Premier League’s weaklings but, in the big games, Tottenham has outperformed the Citizens regularly.
Tottenham is available at odds of +270 with 188Bet, Betfair and Marathonbet to upset Manchester City this weekend but would it be an upset given the respective English Premier League form of the sides? Surely not.
Southampton’s attack is the second worst performing in the English Premier League and Leicester’s forward line has been ravaged by CAF Africa Cup of Nations commitments so one is keen to back under two and a half goals when the Saints and the Foxes clash on England’s south coast on Sunday.
Twelve of Southampton’s 21 English Premier League matches have gone under two and a half goals, including seven of its 10 home games. Leicester’s English Premier League matches are trending over two and a half goals but, without Riyad Mahrez and Islam Slimani while they play for Algeria in Gabon, the Foxes are less likely to score than usual.
Marathonbet is listing under two and a half goals between Southampton and Leicester at odds of -143 and that looks like an English Premier League option that will not last.
Finally, West Bromwich has consistently beaten the teams below it on the English Premier League ladder so Albion are interesting at odds of -143 with several bookmakers, including Bet365, Paddy Power and William Hill, to get the better of Sunderland at The Hawthorns on Saturday.
One’s English Premier League collateral form analysis puts West Bromwich miles ahead of Sunderland, with the Baggies boasting a 14-0-5 advantage over the Black Cats. West Bromwich drew 1-1 at Sunderland in October and one is picking Albion to collect three English Premier League points from this weekend’s battle in the Black Country.
Tottenham to beat Manchester City
Saturday 21st January, 17:30 GMT
Southampton v Leicester – Under 2.5 Goals
Sunday 22nd January, 12:00 GMT
West Brom to beat Sunderland
Saturday 21st January, 15:00 GMT