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SPAL’s Luck to Run out Against Unlucky Atalanta

September 11, 2018

spal vs atalanta

SPAL is in a false position on the Italian Serie A ladder but one expects its luck to run out when it tackles Atalanta in the 10th and final match of Round Four on Monday.

Fortunate to survive relegation from Italian Serie A last season, SPAL has ridden its luck to post two wins from its first three games this term. SPAL defied match statistics to win 1-0 at Bologna first up, it scraped past relegation favourite Parma 1-0 in its second match and then it should have lost more heavily than 0-1 at Torino before Italian Serie A was placed on hold during the international break. To paraphrase former England striker Jimmy Greaves, football is a funny old game and, because it is fairly low scoring, strange results happen from time to time. SPAL will need to improve its performances significantly if it is not going to spend the Italian Serie A season fighting to avoid the drop because it has carried little goal threat in its first three matches despite having a far from taxing early fixture list.

Atalanta is 1-1-1 and sixth on the Italian Serie A ladder but the Goddess ought to be unbeaten with either seven or nine points. Atalanta thrashed Frosinone 4-0 in the first Italian Serie A round before giving as good as it got in a thrilling 3-3 draw at Roma that the Goddess led 3-1 at half time. Atalanta was not near its best in its third Italian Serie A game but the Goddess did not deserve to lose 0-1 at home to a Cagliari team that created less than its host.

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Both of last term’s Italian Serie A matches between SPAL and Atalanta ended 1-1 but, whereas the clash in Bergamo was a fair result on the balance of the play, the encounter in Ferrara should have gone the way of the Goddess. Form is temporary but class is permanent and Atalanta at 13/15  with 888sport will end the Italian Serie A well above SPAL on the ladder if the sides keep producing their recent level of performances.

Lazio has won each of its last three meetings with Empoli and one thinks the White and Sky Blues will start to climb the Italian Serie A ladder with a road win over the Blues.

The Italian Serie A fixture computer outputted a difficult beginning to the competition for Lazio and, while the White and Sky Blues could not quite live with Napoli and Juventus, they did not disgrace themselves before being unlucky not to defeat Frosinone but more than a 1-0 margin. Empoli could not have hoped for a softer start to its Italian Serie A campaign and the Blues probably ought to be unbeaten but Lazio at 3/4  with BetVictor represents a much tougher challenge than those that Cagliari, Genoa and Chievo threw up before the hiatus.

One is not going to pretend Frosinone is anything more than an Italian Serie A battler but one thinks bookmakers are underestimating the probability of the Canaries getting something out of their Saturday showdown versus Sampdoria.

Frosinone at 8/11  with Betway not to lose, beat Sampdoria 2-0 in last season’s Italian Serie A fixture. The Canaries ought to have defeated Bologna in their first league home game and they entertain a Sampdoria team that was second best against both Udinese and Napoli even though Samp somehow ended up registering a 3-0 home victory over the Partenopei – it was a fluke outcome.

Tips Summary

Atalanta to beat SPAL
Monday 17th September, 19:30 BST
Odds: 13/15

Lazio to beat Empoli
Sunday 16th September, 17:00 BST
Odds: 3/4

Frosinone not to lose to Sampdoria (Double chance)
Saturday 15th September, 19:30 BST
Odds: 8/11

  • Atalanta
  • Empoli
  • Frosinone
  • Lazio
  • Sampdoria
  • Serie A
  • SPAL

    About the author

    Carl Wright
    Carl Wright

    Sports Writer

    Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.