Sociedad to win its first home match under Moyes


Manchester United was not the right club for David Moyes but Sociedad may suit the former Old Trafford manager and one is keen on his chance of a winning home debut when Spanish Primera Division struggler Elche visits San Sebastian.

Sociedad has a history of employing British bosses – Chris Coleman, Harry Lowe and, most famously, John Toshack have coached the two-time Spanish Primera Division champion – and it would appear that club officials have been courting Moyes ever since he was removed from his Manchester United job.

One thinks that Moyes has made a smart decision in accepting Sociedad’s offer to succeed Jagoba Arrasate. Sociedad is a similar club in many respects to Everton and Preston, the English teams at which Moyes made his name. Sociedad lives in the shadow of a bigger neighbour, Bilbao, and qualifying for one of UEFA’s two club competitions is the limit of its expectations in the modern era even allowing for Atletico Madrid winning last season’s Spanish Primera Division.

Sociedad is 16th on the 20-team Spanish Primera Division ladder after 12 rounds – by anyone’s definition, it has under performed in the first third of the championship. Sociedad’s squad is that of a top-half Spanish Primera Division side so Moyes should be able to steer it in an upwards direction and receive the plaudits for doing something that 99 per cent of managers could achieve.

Elche is one place off the foot of the Spanish Primera Division ladder after 12 rounds and it does not have the quality on its roster to have anything other than a season fighting against the drop. Elche failed to get the better of cellar dweller Cordoba last time out, having to come back from 0-2 down after 60 minutes to scrape a 2-2 home draw.

Sociedad thrashed Elche 4-0 in last term’s corresponding Spanish Primera Division fixture and it is trading at odds of -149  with Boylesports and Paddy Power to mark its first home match under Moyes with its third league victory.

Cordoba, which one has remarked is extremely lucky to be in the Spanish Primera Division based on its Spanish Segunda Division exploits, is the only top-flight team without a win. Cordoba’s weekend Spanish Primera Division opponent is Villarreal and the away side is available at odds of -110  with many bookmakers, including Coral and Sky Bet.

Odds close to even money about Villarreal beating Cordoba are attractive. At the risk of tempting fate, Villarreal’s Spanish Primera Division record can be summarised as beat the bad teams and lose to the good ones. Villarreal’s four Spanish Primera Division losses have been at home to Barcelona, Real Madrid and Valencia and away to Sevilla, while it is yet to face Atletico Madrid. Villarreal is eighth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder because it does the business in most games for which it is the favourite and it merits favouritism away to Cordoba.

Finally, there is an argument for backing under two and a goals in the Spanish Primera Division match between Getafe and Bilbao, sides that adjacent to each other on the ladder.

Getafe’s 12 Spanish Primera Division games have had an average of 2.08 goals, with seven of them going under two and a half goals. Bilbao’s 12 Spanish Primera Division games have had an average of 1.92 goals, with eight of them going under two and a half goals. Bilbao is improving but it is coming off a short break and a long trip having played and beaten Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukraine on Tuesday. One thinks, therefore, that there is value in the odds of -161  with BetVictor and Ladbrokes about under two and a half goals.

Tips Summary

Sociedad to beat Elche
28th November 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -149
Where to Bet: Boylesports, Paddy Power

Villarreal to beat Cordoba
30th November 18:00 GMT
Odds:  -110
Where to Bet: Coral, Sky Bet

Getafe v Bilbao Under 2.5 goals
29th November 15:00 GMT
Odds:  -161
Where to Bet: BetVictorLadbrokes

David Moyes
John Toshack
La Liga
Real Sociedad

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