It smells like a Bayern win to nil in Koln

has scored just two goals in its five German Bundesliga games since returning to the top flight and that strike rate is likely to be insufficient at home to Bayern Munchen.

Runaway winner of the German 2 Bundesliga last season, Koln has had a relatively soft schedule to kick off its German Bundesliga campaign – home matches against Hamburg and Monchengladbach and away games versus Hannover, Paderborn and Stuttgart. So while Koln supporters are probably happy that their team is ninth on the German Bundesliga ladder after five rounds, they are probably unhappy that their heroes have scored only two goals. Koln will need to lift its offensive output because it will not be able to keep clean sheets against the German Bundesliga heavyweights.

Bayern Munchen boss Josep Guardiola has not been able to field his strongest side so far this season – for example, Franck Ribery and Bastian Schweinsteiger were among its absentees from its 4-0 German Bundesliga home win over Paderborn on Tuesday – yet the title holder is top of the ladder and it has not trailed in any of its seven matches across all competitions this term. Note that one is not counting its German Super Cup game versus Dortmund because it was little more than a glorified pre-season friendly.

BetVictor is offering odds of +130  that Bayern Munchen beats Koln in their German Bundesliga clash without conceding a goal. Given that Bayern Munchen thrashed the other German Bundesliga new boy, Paderborn, 4-0 last time out, Koln is experiencing trouble scoring goals and Bayern has won 19 of its 39 top-flight matches under Guardiola to nil those odds are acceptable. One would have quoted odds of 2.10.

Augsburg and Hertha experienced contrasting midweek fortunes in the German Bundesliga but one is tipping a role reversal when they meet on Sunday. Augsburg is coming off a 0-1 loss at Leverkusen, while Hertha is coming off a 1-0 win at home to a Wolfsburg team that failed to score in a league game for the first time in 11 months and it had its chances.

Again it is BetVictor that is listing the top odds, with Augsburg trading at odds of +110  with the bookmaker for a German Bundesliga home win over Hertha. Augsburg finished last season’s German Bundesliga three places and 11 points above Hertha on the ladder and the former’s form lines this term read slightly better than those of the latter. For example, Augsburg performed better against Bremen and Leverkusen than Hertha did. Also, there was no shame in Augsburg’s losses to Dortmund and Hoffenheim, whereas Hertha’s 1-3 home loss to Mainz was not good at all.

The Revierderby is the pick of the German Bundesliga round six matches but one is swerving it, with one’s final pick being Leverkusen to win on the road versus Freiburg at odds of -118  with, you have guessed it, BetVictor again.

One is keeping the faith with Leverkusen in the belief that its all-out attacking style will overwhelm a fair number of German Bundesliga side. One thinks that Freiburg, which is yet to break its German Bundesliga duck this term and has leaked nine goals in its five top-flight games, is ripe for the picking by a Leverkusen team that will not compromise its approach for as long as Roger Schmidt is its coach.

Some punters may prefer to back over two and a half goals in the German Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Leverkusen but one thinks that bookmakers have marked up that market right. Stubbornly, one is keeping the faith with Leverkusen.

Tips Summary

Bayern to beat Koln to nil
27th September 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +130
Where to Bet: BetVictor

Augsburg to beat Hertha
28th September 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +110
Where to Bet: BetVictor

Leverkusen to beat Freiburg
27th September 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -118
Where to Bet: BetVictor

Roger Schmidt

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