The Spanish Primera Division is famous for its high-scoring games but one thinks that bookmakers have underestimated the chance of a couple of matches going under two and a half goals in what is a rare midweek round of fixtures.
The best bet on the Spanish Primera Division card is under two and a half goals in Wednesday’s game between Celta and Gijon, an option that is available at odds of +110 with Marathonbet. Even though five of the eight Spanish Primera Division matches that have featured Celta and Gijon have gone over two and a half goals, one thinks that MarathonBet may be reading a little too much into that statistic.
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid are two of the Spanish Primera Division’s three giants and it is worth noting that they have taken part in three of the eight aforementioned games, each of which went over two and a half goals. Celta’s two Spanish Primera Division matches versus non-championship contenders ended 0-1 against Leganes and 0-0 versus Osasuna, while Gijon’s games against teams making up the numbers finished 2-1 versus Athletic, 0-0 against Alaves and 2-1 versus Leganes. Now do you see why one thinks that the MarathonBet’s odds compilers may have made a mistake?
Nolito scored Celta’s winning goal in both Spanish Primera Division matches between the Sky Blues and Gijon last term – 2-1 at home and 1-0 away. Nolito abandoned Celta during the close season to join Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City and his former side has struggled in front of goal without him. After four Spanish Primera Division rounds, only Sociedad has had fewer shots on target than Celta and Gijon.
Atletico Madrid has allowed just four shots on target in its first four Spanish Primera Division games and one expects the Mattressers to shut up against Barcelona on Wednesday.
Marathonbet is offering odds of +115 about Barcelona and Atletico Madrid combining for under two and a goals in their Spanish Primera Division clash at Camp Nou and, with Atleti having conceded only one goal in its five matches across all competitions and a draw likely to be their pre-game target, one thinks that the option should be trading at odds on.
Both of last term’s Camp Nou clashes between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid ended 2-1 in favour of Barca but Atleti had a player sent off before half time in each of those games and they finished the Spanish Primera Division match with just nine men following Diego Godin’s second-half exit.
One understands that disciplinary markets attract a lot of attention on Spanish Primera Division games such as Barcelona and Atletico Madrid and the referee appointed to the match is David Fernandez Borbalan. The official has sent off a player in five of his last nine appointments and he flashed two red cards in the last game between Barcelona and Atletico that he controlled, albeit three years ago.
Finally, Villarreal’s sixth position on the Spanish Primera Division ladder flatters the Yellow Submarine, which is why one is picking Real Madrid to win Wednesday’s match at the Santiago Bernabeu comfortably. Bookmakers 888Sport and Unibet are listing odds of +116 about Real minus two goals on their Asian handicap lines. Real beat Villarreal 3-0 in last season’s corresponding Spanish Primera Division fixture and, on a collateral form line through Sociedad, the Meringues are three goals superior to the Yellow Submarine.
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Barcelona v Atletico Madrid – Under 2.5 Goals
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Real Madrid -2 Asian Handicap to beat Villareal
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