Mainz visit Hamburg in a Bundesliga relegation battle.

Six Pointer to Have at Least Half that Many Goals

Mainz visit Hamburg in a Bundesliga relegation battle.

Hamburg and Mainz are likely to go hammer and tongs at each other in Sunday’s German Bundesliga relegation six pointer and one likes the odds available about the all-important clash going over two and a half goals.

There is a sign at Hamburg’s Volksparkstadion bragging about its ever-present status in the German Bundesliga but the Red Shorts are in relegation trouble for the third season in the last four. Three consecutive German Bundesliga losses have resulted in Hamburg occupying 16th position on the ladder, which would thrust the Red Shorts into a relegation play-off versus the third-ranked team in Germany’s second tier. The only nice thing that one can say about Hamburg is that it has been entertaining to watch because 20 of its 31 German Bundesliga matches have gone over two and a half goals, including 10 of the 15 home games of the Red Shorts.

Mainz was not in German Bundesliga relegation peril a few months ago but the O-Fives lost five matches on the spin to slide down the ladder. Mainz has accrued four points from its most recent three German Bundesliga games to extricate itself from the drop zone but its remaining fixtures are tougher than those of Hamburg. Like Hamburg, most of its German Bundesliga matches have been high scoring – 19 of its 31 games have gone over two and a half goals, including 11 of its 15 away matches. December’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture resulted in a 3-1 home win for Mainz over Hamburg.

On what is a typically tough end-of-season German Bundesliga coupon, 188Bet‘s odds of -120  about Hamburg and Mainz combining for over two and a half goals stands out.

Ingolstadt has two players banned for its German Bundesliga game against Leverkusen on Saturday – Alfredo Morales and Rogers have been naughty boys – but that does not stop one wanting to back the Schanzer for three priceless points.

Ingolstadt is trading at odds of +162  with Marathonbet to get the better of Leverkusen and, if one was framing a market based on one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, that is roughly where one would land because the Schanzer trail their weekend foes 5-2-10. But Leverkusen’s recent form is so awful that it screams out to be opposed, with the Company 11’s players seemingly not responding to their recently installed coach, Tayfun Korkut. Furthermore, the reverse German Bundesliga fixture in December ended 2-1 in favour of Ingolstadt on Leverkusen’s own patch.

Frankfurt is overpriced to take three points from its German Bundesliga match versus Wolfsburg on Saturday, with odds of +173  available with Marathonbet. Neither Frankfurt nor Wolfsburg is in great form but, according to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, there is very little to choose between the Eagles and the Wolves – they are tied on 8-1-8 – and, therefore, the former should not be much bigger odds than +120  even allowing the latter’s need for points.

Wolfsburg is in German Bundesliga relegation trouble because changing managers – Andries Jonker succeeded Valerien Ismael in February – has, if anything, worsened its performances. Wolfsburg has lost four of its last five German Bundesliga games, including capitulating to heavy losses at home to Bayern Munchen (0-6) and away to Schalke (1-4).

Just two German Bundesliga sides have won at Frankfurt and, therefore, one cannot agree that Wolfsburg should be close to favouritism for its visit to the Eagles this weekend.

Tips Summary

Hamburg v Mainz – Over 2.5 goals
Sunday 7th May, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -120

Ingoldstadt to beat Leverkusen
Saturday 6th May, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +162

Frankfurt to beat Wolfsburg
Saturday 6th May, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +173

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