Sevilla has not defeated a Spanish Primera Division top-10 team on the road yet bookmakers have installed the Red and Whites as favourites for their game at Getafe on Sunday.
Getafe versus Sevilla is this weekend’s marquee match in the Spanish Primera Division because it pitches fifth against fourth but you would not know it by looking at the betting market. Bookmakers have underestimated Getafe all the way through the Spanish Primera Division competition and it makes no sense the Deep Blues are big underdogs versus a Sevilla side that lost September’s reverse fixture 2-0.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Getafe boasts a 9-2-8 lead over Sevilla, including progressive counts of 5-1-2 and 6-1-3. The highest ranked Spanish Primera Division team Sevilla has beaten away from home is 11th-placed Espanyol and the White and Reds have lost at 15th-positioned Villarreal, 17th-positioned Celta and cellar dweller Huesca. A draw would not be a terrible result for Sevilla in the grand scheme of things – what is important to the White and Reds is they do not allow Getafe to leapfrog them on the Spanish Primera Division ladder – so one is keen to back the Deep Blues not to lose on Sunday at 33/501.66-1520.66-1.520.66 with 888sport, something they have done only once since late January.
TOP TIP! – Getafe to either beat or draw with Sevilla @ 33/501.66-1520.66-1.520.66
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TOP TIP! – Levante and Espanyol to draw @ 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36
Bookmakers rate Sunday’s game between Levante and Espanyol as the most even on the Spanish Primera Division’s Round 33 program and one agrees, hence why the draw is a good wager at 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 with Betway.
Espanyol holds a 10-3-6 Spanish Primera Division collateral form advantage over Levante but the Budgerigars have earned just two points from their 10 league road matches against sides ranked higher than 12th on the ladder and, therefore, one is unwilling to tip them to win. September’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture ended 1-0 in favour of Espanyol so the head-to-head form supports there being little to choose between the teams and, in terms of motivation, Levante has a lot more for which to play.
Barcelona v Sociedad – 20th April – 19:45 BST
TOP TIP! – Barcelona to beat Sociedad @ 23/1001.23-4350.23-4.350.23
It is a very tough Spanish Primera Division coupon but the banker bet of Barcelona to beat Sociedad on Saturday at 23/1001.23-4350.23-4.350.23 with 888sport is worth including in small multiples to inflate returns.
Barcelona, which has won each of its last 18 home games versus Sociedad across all competitions, enjoys a 15-1-3 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over La Real, including progressive counts of 5-1-0, 8-1-1 and 10-1-2. Barcelona fought back from a 0-1 half-time deficit to defeat Sociedad 2-1 in September’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture and Barca did not get out of first gear in beating Manchester United 3-0 on their home pitch on Tuesday.
COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES
Real Madrid 13-2-4
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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