None of the English Premier League Round 26 favourites gets one’s pulse racing, with the best bet being under two and a half goals in Saturday’s Selhurst Park game between Crystal Palace and Watford at odds of -154 with Marathonbet.
It took a Yohan Cabaye penalty kick to break the deadlock when Crystal Palace visited Watford in September, the Eagles winning the English Premier League match 1-0 thanks to the Frenchman’s successful 71st-minute effort. Most teams would be confident of completing a league double having win the away match but Crystal Palace’s English Premier League home form is terrible – no team has lost more games on its own patch than the Eagles, a side that has found itself much better suited to playing on the road and counter attacking.
There are many numbers that point towards a bet on under two and a half goals when Crystal Palace and Watford meet in the English Premier League. Thirteen of Crystal Palace’s 25 English Premier League matches have gone under two and a half goals and its games are averaging 2.24 goals. Fourteen of Watford’s 25 English Premier League matches have gone under two and a half goals and its games are averaging 2.16 goals, which is the division’s equal lowest mean. Watford is the lowest scoring side on the top half of the English Premier League ladder, while Crystal Palace has the most frugal defence of the teams positioned 11th or lower.
Norwich has lost six matches on the spin, the latest of which was a 0-2 loss to the English Premier League’s worst side, Aston Villa. Norwich is in freefall, Canaries boss Alex Neil looks lost for answers and Marathonbet is offering odds of +214 about sixth-placed West Ham exiting Carrow Road on Saturday with three English Premier League points.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, West Ham holds an 11-4-4 edge over Norwich. The knocks on West Ham are that Norwich drew 2-2 at the Boleyn Ground in the reverse English Premier League fixture and the Hammers will be backing up from an epic English FA Cup win over Liverpool on Tuesday that went to extra time. The odds on offer make it difficult to overlook West Ham, though.
One could make cases for supporting both Leicester and Tottenham away to Arsenal and Manchester City respectively – particularly in receipt of one-goal starts – but one’s final English Premier League pick is bottom-of-the-ladder Aston Villa not to lose at home to Liverpool on Sunday.
The English media loves Jurgen Klopp so he is enjoying an extended honeymoon when, in all honesty, he should be under the pump for Liverpool’s poor results – the Reds are ninth on the English Premier League ladder, out of the English FA Cup and needed penalties to qualify for the English Capital One Cup final after throwing away their first-leg lead. One is talking about a Liverpool team that could not overcome Sunderland at Anfield in its last English Premier League engagement so bookmakers are having a laugh in chalking up odds-on quotes about the Reds winning at Aston Villa.
Liverpool only enjoys a 10-2-7 English Premier League collateral form lead over Aston Villa and, based on the results of games featuring the division’s top seven sides, the ledger is an even 3-1-3. Bet365 is offering odds of +105 that Liverpool does not manage to defeat Aston Villa.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 26’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Sunderland 5-1-13* versus Manchester United
Bournemouth 10-0-9* versus Stoke
Crystal Palace 7*-3-9 versus Watford
Everton 10*-4-5 versus West Bromwich
Norwich 4*-4-11 versus West Ham
Swansea 6-2-11* versus Southampton
Chelsea 11*-3-5 versus Newcastle
Arsenal 6*-2-11 versus Leicester
Aston Villa 7-2-10* versus Liverpool
Manchester City 7-2-10* versus Tottenham
C Palace v Watford Under 2.5 goals
13th February 15:00 GMT
West Ham to beat Norwich
13th February 15:00 GMT
Aston Villa to win/draw v Liverpool
14th February 14:00 GMT
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