The state of UEFA Group F in FIFA World Cup qualifying lends itself to Thursday’s all-important game between Scotland and Slovakia in Glasgow going under two and a half goals.
With UEFA Group F leader England short odds to beat Slovenia in London and thereby guarantee its FIFA World Cup berth, second-placed Slovakia knows that a draw away to Scotland will leave it odds on to secure the runner-up spot if the Three Lions take care of business in their match. Slovakia will host bottom-of-the-ladder Malta in its 10th and final UEFA Group F match so, provided that the Falcons go into their last game ahead of Scotland and Slovenia, it will fancy its chance of qualifying for the next stage of FIFA World Cup qualifying, which involves several play-offs.
Slovakia defeated Scotland 3-0 in the reverse UEFA Group F fixture and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Falcons enjoy a 3-0-2 lead over the Tartan Army so the former have nothing to fear from the latter. The first goal of Thursday’s massive match will be critical – if Scotland opens the scoring then the Tartan Army may try to hold what it has and the same goes for Slovakia if it heads the front. The biggest danger for punters who back under two and a half goals at odds of -156 with 188Bet is if Slovakia breaks the deadlock in the first half hour and Scotland, which knows that it really cannot afford anything less than a win if FIFA World Cup qualification is to remain a live hope, decides to throw caution to the wind for a long spell.
Betting on FIFA World Cup qualifying games in seldom easy because many of the matches are uncompetitive but there is plenty on the line in Thursday’s UEFA Group F clash between Scotland and Slovakia, two teams that are hardly renowned for going goal crazy against half-decent opposition.
Strictly, there is nothing on the line in Saturday’s UEFA Group B game between the Faroe Islands and Latvia but Bwin has made it interesting with its quote on the home side. The Faroe Islands is available at attractive odds of +180 with Bwin to do the UEFA Group B double over its weekend guest.
The Faroe Islands got the better of Latvia by a 2-0 margin when the UEFA Group B rivals met in Riga 12 months ago and, with little to choose between the teams on the main match statistics, there was nothing overly lucky about the away team’s triumph. For example, the Faroe Islands won the corner-kick count 6-5. Also, according to one’s UEFA Group B collateral form analysis, the Faroe Islands and Latvia are tied on 2-1-2. Basically, the Faroe Islands should not be anything like as big as +180 to register a home success over an opponent that rates as being close to its equal, with the true odds about such a host being around the +120 mark.
There is more up for grabs in Thursday’s UEFA Group E game between Montenegro and Denmark in Podgorica because they are two of the three sides scrapping for top spot in the section and automatic qualification for the FIFA World Cup. One thinks that Montenegro is overpriced at odds of -127 with Betfair, 888Sport and Unibet not to lose to a Denmark team versus which it holds the upper hand lately.
Montenegro defeated Denmark 1-0 in UEFA Group E this time last year and, while the Brave Falcons were under the cosh for large chunks of that match, there is other data that supports them being underrated against the Red and Whites. For example, according to one’s UEFA Group E collateral form analysis, Montenegro and Denmark cannot be split on 2-1-2.
Scotland v Slovakia – Under 2.5 goals
Thursday 5th October, 19:45 GMT
Faroe Islands to beat Latvia
Saturday 7th October, 17:00 GMT
Montenegro or Draw – Double chance
Thursday 5th October, 19:45 GMT
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