Ingolstadt has given up the second fewest shots in the first two German Bundesliga rounds and that is one of the reasons why one is willing to oppose Bayern Munchen on Saturday.
Well, kind of oppose Bayern Munchen. Clearly Bayern is the German Bundesliga’s team to beat and its five competitive matches under Carlo Ancelotti have produced five victories by a 20-0 aggregate score. One cannot make a decent case for anything other than a German Bundesliga home win for Bayern over Ingolstadt but one can construct an argument for the hot favourite not running riot against the rank outsider.
Bet365 has a market on the time of Bayern Munchen’s first goal versus Ingolstadt in the German Bundesliga and it is offering odds of -120 that Bayern does not open its account before the clock ticks over to 24 minutes. Bayern has not scored before the 24-minute mark in three of its five games across all competitions even though it has averaged 5-0 wins in them. And Ingolstadt has given up just one early goal in its three German Bundesliga and German DFB Pokal matches.
Now back to the German Bundesliga shots conceded statistic that one referenced in the opening paragraph of this article. Only Bayern Munchen has allowed fewer shots than Ingolstadt in the first two German Bundesliga rounds and the Schanzer can count themselves unlucky to have let in seven goals having given up just 15 efforts. It took Bayern 65 minutes to break the deadlock in last term’s corresponding German Bundesliga fixture and there are sufficient good reasons, including the home side backing up from a Tuesday night assignment in the UEFA Champions League, to bet against Ancelotti’s team scoring before 24 minutes expire.
Koln’s pre-season form suggested that the Billy Goats would enjoy a decent German Bundesliga campaign and they have been one of the stars of the opening two rounds, earning plaudits from many sources. Only Bayern Munchen has fired off more German Bundesliga shots than Koln and no side has managed more on-target efforts than the Billy Goats. Bayern, Koln and Wolfsburg are the three German Bundesliga sides yet to concede a goal and William Hill‘s odds of -110 about the Billy Goats beating Freiburg on Friday are very fair.
Freiburg is back in the German Bundesliga following its 12-month spell in the second tier and it would be on one point if it had not been for late goals in its first two games. Koln is shaping up as though it may push for UEFA Europa League qualification via the German Bundesliga this season, whereas staying out of the relegation zone will be Freiburg’s primary objective. One suspects that odds of -110 about Koln defeating Freiburg will look big in hindsight.
Finally, one wants to bet against Schalke in its German Bundesliga match at Hertha on Sunday. Schalke has failed to impress in its back-to-back German Bundesliga losses to Frankfurt and Bayern Munchen, plus it must back up from visiting Nice in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday.
Hertha, which is available at odds of +165 with Marathonbet, is the only German Bundesliga team other than Bayern Munchen that boasts a 100 per cent record and it won last term’s corresponding league fixture 2-0 six months ago.
Bayern Munich First Goal After 24 Minutes
Saturday 17th September, 14:30 GMT
Koln to beat Freiburg
Friday 16th September, 19:30 GMT
Hertha Berlin to beat Schalke
Sunday 18th September, 16:30 GMT