Sassuolo is not getting the credit that it deserves but that suits one because it means that the Black and Greens are overpriced to beat Udinese in Italian Serie A on Sunday.
Twelfth in last term’s Italian Serie A, Sassuolo is seventh with nine rounds of this season’s competition remaining and it would take a huge collapse for the Black and Greens not to finish on the top half of the ladder. Sassuolo had won three Italian Serie A matches on the bounce before it ran into Juventus last time out and the Black and Greens lost only 0-1 without their star man, Domenico Berardi, who was bed ridden with influenza. Berardi should be fit to return to Sassuolo’s line up for its game against an Udinese side that is fighting for its Italian Serie A existence largely because the Little Zebras cannot score goals frequently.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Sassuolo holds an 11-3-5 lead over Udinese, including a 0-0 draw in November’s reverse fixture. Those 11-3-5 numbers are extremely flattering to Udinese because, if one only counts Italian Serie A matches featuring the top eight teams, the Little Zebras trail Sassuolo 0-1-7 on one’s collateral form assessments. Clearly Sassuolo is vastly superior to Udinese and the Little Zebras have beaten just bottom-of-the-ladder Verona in their last 11 Italian Serie A games. Sassuolo is well over its true odds at -106 with Marathonbet.
The Italian Serie A title is in the balance and one expects Juventus to keep its foot on the gas with a derby victory over Torino on Sunday at odds of -120 with many bookmakers, including Betfair, Ladbrokes and Totesport.
Torino has a bad record versus Juventus in Italian Serie A derbies – for example, the Maroons have lost eight of their last nine league matches against the White and Blacks – and it has toiled versus most sides above it on the ladder. Torino is 2 5-10 in its 17 Italian Serie A games against teams ranked 12th or higher and, therefore, it should come as no surprise to find out that the Maroons have performed worse than Juventus versus every member of the top six.
Roma does not carry one’s Italian Serie A headline vote this weekend but the Yellow and Reds make one’s list at odds of -112 with Marathonbet to beat Internazionale on Saturday.
Eight Italian Serie A victories in a row is a record that not even championship contenders Juventus and Napoli can match and Roma are the division’s highest scoring side.
Roma trails Internazionale 9-0-10 according to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form line but that is largely because the Yellow and Reds have not been as good as the Black and Blues against the division’s alsorans. When one excludes Italian Serie A games featuring teams ranked lower than eighth, Roma enjoys a 6-0-1 collateral form edge over Internazionale and Inter’s only highpoint was in October’s reverse fixture.
Finally, here are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 30’s 10 matches. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Empoli 12*2-5 versus Palermo
Roma 9-0-10* versus Internazionale
Atalanta 9-1-9* versus Bologna
Frosinone 3-2-14* versus Fiorentina
Sampdoria 8*-2-9 versus Chievo
Sassuolo 11*-3-5 versus Udinese
Torino 3-0-16* versus Juventus
Verona 6*-3-10 versus Carpi
Napoli 14*-5-0 versus Genoa
Milan 10*-1-8 versus Lazio
Sassuolo to beat Udinese
Sunday 20th March, 14:00 GMT
Juventus to beat Torino
Sunday 2oth March, 14:00 GMT
Roma to beat Inter Milan
Saturday 19th March, 19:45 GMT