Over two and a half goals in the San Siro game between Milan and Livorno at odds of 1.67 with Stan James is the best bet on the program in the 34th round of Italian Serie A matches.
Milan has won four Italian Serie A games in a row to climb to eighth on the ladder with five rounds remaining. With a home derby against Internazionale to come between now and the end of the season, Milan has a live chance to overtake its city rival provided it extends its winning streak.
The visit of 18th-placed Livorno provides Milan with a good opportunity to stay in the hunt for a berth in one of UEFA’s club competitions, although one thinks that the visitor to the San Siro will not make life easy for its host. Livorno is fighting for its Italian Serie A life and, with its run home including four matches against sides ranked in the top nine, it has to go for broke in all its games even though, on paper, most of them look like very tough assignments.
The appeal is the suggested bet on over two and a half goals in the Italian Serie A match between Milan and Livorno is that both teams are in the top six when it comes to goals per game. Livorno’s 33 Italian Serie A matches have averaged 3.03 goals, while Milan’s 33 top-flight games have had a mean of 2.85 goals. Nineteen of Livorno’s 33 Italian Serie A matches have gone over two and a half goals and 17 of Milan’s 33 top-flight games have gone over that line.
The reverse Italian Serie A fixture in December resulted in a 2-2 draw, with punters who bet on over two and a half goals collecting their winnings before the hour mark.
The Italian Serie A match between Genoa and Cagliari may not be exciting to watch, though, and that is why one is gearing up for a bet on under two and a half goals at odds of 1.62 with several bookmakers, including Boylesports and Stan James. The numbers supporting the play are good.
Genoa’s 33 Italian Serie A games have had an average of 2.39 goals and 22 of them have gone under two and a half goals. No other Italian Serie A side has featured in more matches that have gone under two and a half goals, with the next best being Lazio on 20. Cagliari’s 33 Italian Serie A games have produced a mean of 2.30 goals, which is the lowest in the division. Eighteen of Cagliari’s 33 Italian Serie A matches have gone under two and a half goals and another 10 have gone under three and a half goals. Genoa and Cagliari have been friends to punters who like to bet on few goals.
The reverse Italian Serie A fixture four months ago ended 2-1 in favour if Cagliari but two things are worth noting: first, Genoa played the entire second half with 10 men; and second, Cagliari scored its winning goal in stoppage time.
Finally, Chievo is overpriced to defeat Sassuolo in a real Italian Serie A relegation six-pointers thanks to BetVictor offering up odds of 2.10 about the home team triumphing.
Chievo deserves to be odds on since it is three positions and five points ahead of Sassuolo on the Italian Serie A ladder after 33 rounds. It is far to say that ladders do not lie 86 per cent of the way through a season. And Chievo beat Sassuolo 1-0 in December, Cyril Thereau’s goal securing three Italian Serie A points for the Verona-based team.
Both Chievo and Sassuolo is coming off good Italian Serie A results but the odds are wrong, with the home side entitled to be about 1.90 given the reverse fixture and ladder.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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