Kick off the Italian Serie A round with a value wager by backing Sampdoria to get the better of Torino on Saturday.
That Torino has lost just four of its 22 Italian Serie A games perhaps explains why some bookmakers are keen to lay Sampdoria but, even allowing for that perspective among the odds-setting fraternity, there is no way that Samp should be trading at such big prices to pick up three home points from their weekend assignment against a lower ranked opponent.
Sampdoria is not receiving due credit for its sixth position on the Italian Serie A ladder, a ranking that places it four rungs and five points above Torino. Sampdoria is coming off a 1-0 Italian Serie A road win over fifth-placed Roma and, according to one’s divisional collateral form analysis, Samp enjoys a 12-1-6 advantage over Torino, including a 6-0-2 progressive lead based on the club’s respective results versus the division’s leading lights. Sampdoria and Torino shared four goals in September’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture so the direct head to head favors one’s top pick marginally. And last season’s Italian Serie A match between Sampdoria and Torino in Genoa ended 2-0 in favor of Samp. The home side is a big price of +145 with BetVictor.
The other Italian Serie A game scheduled for Saturday is Internazionale against Crotone and it should be one-sided with the home team dominating from start to finish.
It took two late goals for Internazionale to put Crotone to the sword in September’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture but it was only a matter of time before the Black and Blues hit the back of the net and, on another day, they would have won much more comfortably and no-one would have complained.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Internazionale boasts a 14-4-1 edge over Crotone but there is more to it than that. Internazionale has outperformed Crotone versus each of Italian Serie A’s top nine sides, the Black and Blues have not lost to any of the eight highest ranked teams and the Red and Blues have lost each of their divisional matches against the top nine outfits.
Italian Serie A games between Internazionale and Crotone have become synonymous with late match-defining goals but one is keen on backing the Black and Blues to pull off a half-time/full-time double result success at -125 with BetVictor in their next encounter because there is a massive gulf in quality.
One’s third Italian Serie A selection is Atalanta to beat Chievo after leading Sunday’s match at halftime, with the HT/FT result offered at +108 with 888Sport. Just five rungs separate Atalanta and Chievo on the Italian Serie A ladder but the gap is 11 points and one’s collateral form analysis, which takes into account only divisional games, favors the Goddess strongly. Atalanta enjoys a 13-2-4 Italian Serie A collateral form advantage over Chievo and the Flying Donkeys will line up against the Goddess minus two regular starters due to one-match suspensions. There is substance to Atalanta’s Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Chievo because the Goddess have fared better than the Flying Donkeys versus seven of the league’s top eight sides.
Below are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form numbers for all of the upcoming round’s 10 matches.
Sampdoria to beat Torino
Saturday 3rd February, 17:00 GMT
Inter to beat Crotone HT/FT double result
Saturday 3rd February, 19:45 GMT
Atalanta to beat Chievo HT/FT double result
Sunday 4th February, 14:00 GMT