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Roma’s inability to keep a clean sheet, irrespective of the ability of its opponent, is sufficient reason for one to be in Fiorentina’s camp for the Italian Serie A match of the round between the top two ranked teams on Sunday.
Before Roma supporters launch their computer’s email client to fire off a message to say that the Wolves have kept a clean sheet this season, yes they have but it was against Frosinone and bookmakers are offering relatively short odds about the Canaries being one of Italian Serie A’s relegated sides. Roma has failed to shut out 10 of its 11 opponents across all competitions and its latest game resulted in a 4-4 UEFA Champions League draw at Leverkusen in Tuesday.
One would argue that Roma has not beaten a top-drawer team this term without receiving some outside assistance. Roma defeated Juventus 2-1 in one of Italian Serie A’s marquee matches but Juve had two players sent off, the first five minutes after the Wolves opened the scoring and the second one minute before the Wolves extended their advantage.
Fiorentina is not only top of the Italian Serie A ladder but also on a seven-game winning run at home in the league, with each of its last six divisional home victories being to nil. Fiorentina will take to the pitch versus Roma having had two fewer days to prepare but it did not have to travel for its UEFA Europa League match on Thursday whereas its guest will be playing its second game away of the week. Also, Roma’s midweek assignment was considerably tougher than that of Fiorentina, which welcomed Lech Poznan to Florence.
Bookmakers are betting as though Fiorentina is markedly inferior to Roma, with Marathonbet’s odds of 43/25 2.72 +172 1.72 1.72 -0.58 about the home side being the most insulting on offer. Fiorentina ought to be trading at odds of around 13/10 2.30 +130 1.30 1.30 -0.77 and that is even after taking into account the higher than usual probability of a draw because of the huge stakes involved on Sunday.
It is difficult to talk up the recent results of Sampdoria but, with Verona still missing its main strike weapon, one is willing to include Samp in one’s Italian Serie A betting portfolio at odds of 11/10 2.10 +110 1.10 1.10 -0.91 with Coral to triumph on Sunday.
Sampdoria bounced back from exiting the UEFA Europa League in the preliminary stage to Serbian minnow Vojvodina to earn seven points from its opening three Italian Serie A matches. Sampdoria has slid down the Italian Serie A ladder to more like its true position but it has won three and drawn one of its four home games and it should be confident of accruing three points from Verona’s visit to Genoa this weekend.
Verona occupies one of Italian Serie A’s relegation spots after eight rounds and only once have the Scaligers scored more than one goal in those eight matches. Verona forward Luca Toni was Italian Serie A’s top marksman last season and, according to the latest medical reports, he is likely to be out of action until the 15th week of the competition.
Finally, one’s opposition of Milan in the eighth round of Italian Serie A games did not pay off but one remains of the opinion that the Red and Blacks are the most overrated team in the division simply because of the badge of their shirts.
Sassuolo justified one’s confidence in its Italian Serie A home match against Lazio last weekend and there is no way that the Black and Greens should be trading at odds of 53/50 2.06 +106 1.06 1.06 -0.94 with 888Sport and Unibet to exit the San Siro with either a draw or an away win to show for their efforts.
Milan has not beaten a side positioned on the top half of the Italian Serie A ladder and Sassuolo is five points and eight rungs above the Red and Blacks yet all bookmakers are quoting the home side at odds on, which is totally crazy.
Fiorentina to beat Roma
24th October 15:00 GMT
Odds: 43/25 2.72 +172 1.72 1.72 -0.58
Sampdoria to beat Verona
24th October 15:00 GMT
Odds: 11/10 2.10 +110 1.10 1.10 -0.91
Sassuolo to win/draw v Milan
25th October 12:00 GMT
Odds: 53/50 2.06 +106 1.06 1.06 -0.94