Romania to beat Hungary in Bucharest again

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The race to qualify for the UEFA Euro tournament continues on Thursday and the best bet on the card is Romania to beat Hungary in Bucharest at odds of -118  with William Hill.

The results of four matches in particular were what drove one to pick Romania as the best UEFA Euro bet of the many wagering options that are available in the coming days.

First, Romania kicked off its UEFA Euro Group F campaign with a 1-0 away win over FIFA World Cup qualifier Greece, holding on despite its goal scorer, Ciprian Marica, being sent off in the 53rd minute after his second yellow card.

Second, Hungary began its UEFA Euro Group F adventure with a 1-2 home loss to Northern Ireland in which it conceded two goals in the last 10 minutes after taking a late lead.

Third, Romania fought back from 0-1 and 1-2 deficits to draw 2-2 with Hungary in Budapest during qualifying for the last FIFA World Cup, Alexandru Chicpu scoring in stoppage time.

And fourth, Romania beat Hungary 3-0 in Budapest 11 months ago, goals in the second, 31st and 88th minutes securing three FIFA World Cup Group D points for the Romanians that helped them finish runner-up to the Netherlands in the section. Then Romania lost 2-4 on aggregate to Greece.

It is a blow that Marica, who has scored 25 goals in 72 appearances for Romania, is banned for Saturday’s game against Hungary but one that is insufficient for one to ignore the other facts that support a bet on his team.

Scotland gave as good as it got in its UEFA Euro Group D opener versus Germany, going down 1-2 in Dortmund and earning the respect of the FIFA World Cup champion.

Next up for Scotland in UEFA Euro Group D is a much easier assignment against Georgia in Glasgow and one was surprised to see William Hill listing the Tartan Army at odds of -125 .

Scotland has climbed to 29 in the FIFA World Ranking and it was undefeated in six matches versus Croatia, Macedonia, Nigeria, Norway, Poland and the United States of America – three of those sides reached the FIFA World Cup round of 16 – before losing to Germany by the odd goal in three.

Georgia kicked off its UEFA Euro Group D campaign with a 1-2 home loss to Ireland and its mid-year friendlies ended with a 0-1 loss to the United Arab Emirates in Switzerland.

Scotland beat Georgia 2-1 in Glasgow during qualifying for the UEFA Euro 2008 tournament and, since then, the Scots have ascended the FIFA World Ranking and the Georgians have descended it. One thinks that Scotland has a fair chance of making the UEFA Euro finals, albeit via the play-offs.

Finally, Italy’s record in competitive home games demands a bet on it to defeat Azerbaijan in Palermo without conceding a goal, an option that is trading at odds of -189  with BetVictor and Paddy Power but much shorter elsewhere.

Italy has not lost a meaningful home match since Denmark’s come-from-behind 3-2 victory in Napoli in 1999. Since then, Italy’s record in competitive home games reads 29 wins, five draws and zero losses, with 21 of those 34 matches resulting in a win to nil for the Azzurri. Incredibly, never has Italy lost a FIFA World Cup match on home soil, at least not one in normal time before Argentinians start sending emails.

Azerbaijan is ranked 82 places below Italy in the FIFA World Ranking, it lost to Italy 2-0 at home and 4-0 on the road during the UEFA Euro 2004 qualifying process and it has scored one goal in its last four games and that was in its 1-2 UEFA Euro Group H home loss to Bulgaria in September.

Tips Summary

Romania to beat Hungary
11th October 17:00 GMT
Odds:  -118
Where to Bet: William Hill

Scotland to beat Georgia
11th October 17:00 GMT
Odds:  -125
Where to Bet: William Hill

Italy to beat Azerbaijan to nil
10th October 19:45 GMT
Odds:  -189
Where to Bet: BetVictorPaddy Power

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