Round 13 of Italian Serie A kicks off with the match between Bologna and Roma and it just so happens that Saturday’s game presents the best betting opportunity on the entire coupon.
Marathonbet are offering odds of -133 about Roma beating Bologna and climbing, probably only temporarily, to the top of the Italian Serie A ladder. One thinks that those bookmakers are placing too much faith in Bologna’s ability to deny the Wolves and that the general betting public are likely to overrate the Red and Blues.
Bologna has won three of its last four Italian Serie A matches to climb out of the relegation zone but there is little depth to the form of the Red and Blues. Bologna’s recent Italian Serie A victims have the bottom two teams, Carpi and Verona, plus eighth-placed Atalanta, which it faced in the city that is home to the world’s oldest university. The only other Italian Serie A side to have tasted defeat versus Bologna is 18th-placed Frosinone. In summary, Bologna has not taken an Italian Serie A point off any team ranked in the top seven currently – Roma is third.
Collateral form analysis is a great way for assessing games at this point in competitions and it supports one’s view that Roma ought to defeat Bologna on Saturday. Bologna and Roma have had 11 common Italian Serie A opponents and one’s number crunching suggests that 10 of those collateral form lines favour the Wolves, with the exception being the one that revolves around Verona. Roma kicked off its Italian Serie A campaign with a 1-1 draw away to a full-strength Verona, whereas Bologna took advantage of Hellas being without many key players, including Luca Toni, to triumph 2-0 on the road in the round before the two-week break.
On what is a relatively unappealing Italian Serie A card one’s idea of the second most attractive wager is Napoli, which is available at odds of -227 with William Hill to register an away win over struggling Verona on Sunday.
Toni remains several weeks away from making his return to Verona’s attack and Hellas may be in too deep a hole for last term’s Italian Serie A leading marksman to save them when eventually he suits up again. Verona has not won any of its 12 Italian Serie A matches, scoring just eight goals, including none in its last three games. Napoli is one of Italian Serie A’s highest scoring sides and it is riding high in both domestic and continental events because its last 15 matches have resulted in 11 wins and four draws.
Last season’s corresponding Italian Serie A fixture ended in a 2-0 Verona victory but Toni scored both of his team’s goals. Verona is an Italian Serie A relegation certainty unless it can unearth a solution to playing without Toni, who is out of action until sometime in the new year.
Finally, one fancies a bet with Marathonbet on over 10 and a half corner kicks in the Italian Serie A game between Internazionale and Frosinone on Sunday at odds of -154
No Italian Serie A side has conceded more corner kicks than Frosinone, which has given up 95 corners at an average of 7.92 per match. Eight of Frosinone’s 12 Italian Serie A games have gone over 10 and a half corner kicks and none of its dozen matches have had fewer than nine corners. Seven of Internazionale’s 12 Italian Serie A games have gone over 10 and a half corner kicks, including four of its six home matches. One is expecting Internazionale to force at least eight corner kicks and Frosinone to contribute to the total.
Roma to beat Bologna
21st November 17:00 GMT
Napoli to beat Verona
22nd November 14:00 GMT
Internazionale v Frosinone Over 10.5 corners
22nd November 19:45 GMT
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