Roma is the best bet on the Italian Serie A card at odds of -105 with Bet365 to increase Carpi’s relegation concerns on Friday.
After winning one of their 12 games across all competitions from late November to late January – a two-month period in which it experienced a series of high-profile absentees – Roma has won three matches on the bounce to get its Italian Serie A campaign back on track. Admittedly, Roma has waved goodbye to its Italian Serie A title challenge and it has not beaten any of the division’s big guns recently but its 2-0 victory at seventh-placed Sassuolo had merit and its collateral form lines with Carpi are almost impeccable.
Based on the results of the first 24 Italian Serie A rounds, Roma enjoys a 15-4-0 collateral form advantage over Carpi, including an emphatic 5-1 home win in the reverse fixture that took place in September. A collateral form report at this stage of a tournament in which one of the sides does not boast a single success is very unusual and, therefore, one is confident that Roma is vastly superior to Carpi.
Carpi is 3-4-5 at home in Italian Serie A, with its three wins coming against 12th-placed Torino, 14th-placed Udinese and 17th-placed Sampdoria. Most of Italian Serie A’s top teams have defeated Carpi, with the newcomer to the elite accruing just three points from its 11 games versus sides ranked eighth or higher. Roma has experienced few problems versus Italian Serie A’s lightweights – it is 7-1-2 against teams positioned in the bottom eight – and one was shocked to see odds extremely close to even money freely on offer.
Saturday’s Italian Serie A showdown between Juventus and Napoli may go a long way to deciding the championship and one rates the host as a wager at odds of +118 with Marathonbet.
Juventus has rallied magnificently after making a dismal start to its Italian Serie A title defence and victory over Napoli on Saturday will see it rise to the top of the ladder with 13 rounds remaining. Juventus has won 12 matches in a row across all competitions and its Italian Serie A winning streak stands at 14 games, the last five of which it has taken out without conceding a goal. Napoli’s recent form figures are good but even they are not in that league.
One’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis suggests that Juventus is superior to Napoli in spite of how the ladder looks currently. Juventus holds a 10-3-6 Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Napoli and one is not all that concerned that the reverse fixture resulted in a 1-2 away loss for Juve because it occurred when they were playing poorly. Juventus is Italian Serie A’s form team, its home record is sensational and one’s collateral form analysis suggests that it should be trading at odds of around the +100 mark, perhaps even a little bit shorter than that.
Eighth-placed Empoli has gone five matches without a win but it has lost only one of those games and one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis into its clash with 19th-placed Frosinone suggests that Saturday’s home side is well worth a punt at odds of -167 with William Hill.
Frosinone beat Empoli 2-0 in the reverse Italian Serie A fixture but that it one of only three collateral form lines that favour the divisional debutant over the team that is enjoying its 10th season among Italy’s elite. Empoli boasts a 15-1-3 Italian Serie A collateral form edge over Frosinone and the latter’s 0-2-9 road record is the section’s worst.
Finally, here are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 25’s nine matches. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner.
Lazio 11*-2-6 versus Verona
Carpi 0-4-15* versus Roma
Empoli 15-1-3* versus Frosinone
Chievo 8*-3-8* versus Sassuolo
Juventus 10-3-6* versus Napoli
Milan 9-6-4* versus Genoa
Palermo 7-2-10* versus Torino
Sampdoria 6-5-8* versus Atalanta
Udinese 6*1-12 versus Bologna
Fiorentina 9*-2-8 versus Internazionale
Roma to beat Carpi
12th February 19:45 GMT
Juventus to beat Napoli
13th February 19:45 GMT
Empoli to beat Frosinone
13th February 14:00 GMT
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