SPAL needs Italian Serie A points to stay up and Roma needs them to qualify the UEFA Champions League so Saturday’s match between the teams should make for good viewing.
It should make for good betting as well because bookmakers are offering attractive odds about Roma getting the better of a SPAL side with fewer than half of the favourite’s Italian Serie A points after 33 rounds of the season.
Roma is third on the Italian Serie A ladder, locked in a three-team fight for Italy’s two unsecured UEFA Champions League spots with Lazio and Internazionale also in the mix. Seventeenth-ranked SPAL is one point ahead of 18th-ranked Crotone at the foot of the Italian Serie A ladder and the former has won fewer league games than all bar Benevento, which requires a miracle to avoid the dreaded drop.
According to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Roma holds a 14-5-0 advantage over SPAL, including a 4-0-0 progressive count. What that means is that SPAL has fared either worse than or equal to Roma against every one of their respective Italian Serie A opponents and December’s reverse fixture resulted in a 3-1 Yellow and Reds home win. SPAL has not beaten any of Italian Serie A’s top 10 sides anywhere, while Roma has defeated each of the bottom three teams on the road without conceding a goal and, furthermore, the Yellow and Reds are 9-6-1 across all of their travels.
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SPAL is undefeated in its last eight Italian Serie A games but it has drawn each of its last six matches, failing to score in three of them. Roma requires the Italian Serie A points every bit as much as SPAL does and the Yellow and Reds have proven that they are superior to their hosts. Roma are tipped at odds of -133 with BetVictor.
Udinese is not safe from Italian Serie A relegation but one thinks that the Little Zebras will take a huge step towards securing their top-flight status by getting the better of lower-ranked Crotone at -105 with BetVictor in one of Sunday’s half a dozen games.
Only four rungs and five points separate Udinese and Crotone on the Italian Serie A ladder but, according to one’s number crunching of their respective results, there is a much more significant gulf between the sides. Udinese enjoys a 12-3-4 Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Crotone, including progressive counts of 5-1-1 and 10-2-2. Udinese crushed Crotone 3-0 in November’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture and they have taken care of business at home to the other two teams situated in the drop zone with five rounds to go.
Football fans all around the world will be glued to Sunday’s Italian Serie A match between top-of-the-ladder Juventus and second-ranked Napoli. Anything less than a Napoli away win means it is difficult to see anything other than a Juventus title triumph so the Partenopei must go for broke in Turin, particularly if the Old Lady strike the front.
Juventus beat Napoli 1-0 in December’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture and one’s collateral form analysis supports the view that the Old Lady are superior to the Partenopei and worthy of taking out the championship. Juventus boasts a 10-5-4 Italian Serie A collateral form edge over Napoli, including progressive counts of 2-1-0, 3-1-1 and 8-3-2. Back the Old Lady at +106 with 888Sport.
Roma to beat SPAL
Saturday 21st April, 14:00 GMT
Udinese to beat Crotone
Sunday 22nd April, 14:00 GMT
Juventus to beat Napoli
Sunday 22nd April, 19:45 GMT
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