River Islanders to Prove Superiority over Old Lady

Werder Bremen are one of the Bundesliga's in-form teams.

No German Bundesliga team is in such good form as Bremen and one thinks that the River Islanders are the best bet of the 31st championship round when they host Hertha on Saturday.

Bremen was deep in German Bundesliga relegation peril before its 10-game unbeaten run – eight wins and two draws – began in the middle of February. Admittedly, many of Bremen’s last 10 German Bundesliga matches have seen the River Islanders line up versus some of the division’s out-of-form sides but their recent results include a 3-0 home thumping of Leipzig and, last time out, Max Kruse scored an amazing four goals in their come-from-behind 4-2 victory at Ingolstadt.

One cannot go overboard about the quality of the German Bundesliga when a team as limited as Hertha is fifth on its ladder. Hertha has won 12 of its 15 German Bundesliga home games but the Old Lady have posted just two away victories and those occurred against 14th-ranked Wolfsburg and the side one off the bottom, 17th-ranked Ingolstadt. Hertha’s German Bundesliga travel woes are down to its inability to score freely and keep clean sheets on a regular basis.

According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Bremen enjoys a 9-4-4 advantage over Hertha, including 1-0 success in December’s reverse fixture. Bookmakers are betting on Saturday’s German Bundesliga match as if Bremen is, at best, equal to Hertha but one thinks that the River Islanders are superior to the Old Lady. Bremen is available at odds of +115  with BetVictor.

Thirty rounds into the German Bundesliga competition and bookmakers may have finally worked out that Hoffenheim is the division’s fourth strongest team. One’s second German Bundesliga pick is Hoffenheim to beat rapidly fading Frankfurt on Sunday at odds of -149  with Ladbrokes.

Frankfurt’s dream of UEFA Champions League action next term evaporated in a 10-game winless streak which the Eagles snapped last weekend when they scored three late goals to defeat Augsburg 3-1. Qualifying for the UEFA Europa League is not out of the question for Frankfurt but the Eagles, which have a negative goal difference, will need to lift considerably from what they have delivered recently.

Hoffenheim’s German Bundesliga top-three ambition is in its own hands because Hoffe have a date with Dortmund before the end of the season. Hoffenheim does not have the easiest of German Bundesliga runs home but Hoffe do have a home game versus Koln to come and three points is all that they need to lock down one of the division’s top four positions.

According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Hoffenheim holds an 11-2-4 lead over Frankfurt, including holding the Eagles to a 0-0 draw on the road in December. Frankfurt ended that German Bundesliga match with 10 men but Timothy Chandler’s red card happened very late.

The bad news for Hoffenheim is that one expects Dortmund to get the better of Koln on Saturday, an option that is trading at the short odds of -333  with Marathonbet.

According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Dortmund’s advantage over Koln is 11-3-3, with the Black and Yellows outperforming the Billy Goats against each of the division’s top four sides. Dortmund is 11-3-0 in its 14 German Bundesliga home games, whereas Koln is 3-5-7 in its 15 divisional away matches and the Billy Goats have not won on the home ground of a team on the ladder’s top half.

Tips Summary

Werder Bremen to beat Hertha Berlin
Saturday 29th April, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +115

Hoffenheim to beat Frankfurt
Sunday 30th April, 16:30 GMT
Odds:  -149

Dortmund to beat Koln
Saturday 29th April, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -333

Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen

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