Reds to Down Citizens in High-Scoring Anfield Clash

Liverpool beat Manchester City 3-0 at Anfield in March.

Liverpool beat Manchester City 3-0 at Anfield in March.

The English Premier League blockbuster between Liverpool and Manchester City merits special attention and the good news is that one has found not one but two good bets associated with the New Year’s Eve match at Anfield that pits second against third.

For starters, one is positive that Liverpool is overpriced to beat Manchester City. Just one point separates Liverpool and Manchester City on the English Premier League ladder but, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the gap should be wider, particularly because of their respective results versus the top teams.

Liverpool and Manchester City have faced every other English Premier League side and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Reds enjoy a 10-1-7 advantage over the Citizens. What is more, though, is that Liverpool’s English Premier League collateral form edge over Manchester City is 5-0-1 when one only counts the results of games featuring the eight highest ranked teams. In short, Liverpool has outformed Manchester City in most of their respective English Premier League heavyweight encounters – the Reds are 3-3-0 against Chelsea, Arsenal, Tottenham, Manchester United, Everton and Southampton even though they have hosted just the Red Devils, whereas the Citizens are 2-2-2 in spite of only visiting Spurs and their local rivals. Liverpool has frittered away English Premier League points versus some of the division’s lesser lights, otherwise it would be well clear of Manchester City and hot on the heels of league leaders Chelsea.

The explanation for Liverpool not trading at odds of around +100  to get the better of Manchester City in their English Premier League clash is simple: there is even more hype surrounding the Citizens than the Reds. Liverpool should be shorter than odds of +142  with Marathonbet.

For English Premier League punters who like to play at even bigger odds, Liverpool and both sides to score is an interesting proposition. Bet365 and Betway are listing odds of +300  about Liverpool defeating Manchester City at the same time of failing to keep what would be just its sixth clean sheet in 19 English Premier League rounds. Liverpool and Manchester City boast the most potent English Premier League attacks but, if they end up playing second fiddle to Chelsea in the title race, it will because of their suspect defences – the Reds and the Citizens have conceded approximately double the goals of the Blues.

Speaking of Chelsea, the Blues appeal as a half-time/full-time double-result wager at home to Stoke in another English Premier League match scheduled for New Year’s Eve.

According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Chelsea and Stoke have run into every other top-flight team and the Blues boast a 12-4-2 lead over the Potters. What is particularly sad for Stoke supporters is their side’s English Premier League results against the division’s contenders for honours – the Potters have not beaten a team ranked higher than 10th and they have conceded at least three goals versus Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal and Tottenham. The English Premier League big guns have shot Stoke to pieces and currently none of them is playing better than Chelsea, which has strung together an impressive 12 consecutive divisional wins.

Chelsea has won each of its last three English Premier League games after leading at half time – including the 3-0 weekend win over Bournemouth – and, with Coral willing to lay odds of -115  about the Blues double result, it looks like a good way to close out the betting year. One expects those odds to shorten.

Tips Summary

Liverpool to beat Manchester City
Saturday 31st December, 17:30 GMT
Odds:  +142

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score
Saturday 31st December, 17:30 GMT
Odds:  +300

Chelsea HT/FT Double Result
Saturday 31st December, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  -115