Red Bulls to End Hoffe’s Remarkable Unbeaten Run

Leipzig beat Frankfurt 3-0 last weekend in the Bundesliga.

All good things must come to an end and that may be the case for the unbeaten German Bundesliga record of Hoffenheim when the Kraichgauer visit the division’s other surprise packet.

Saturday will see second-placed Leipzig host third-placed Hoffenheim in the match of the German Bundesliga round and one think that there are sufficient statistical grounds for backing the championship-chasing Red Bulls to beat the Kraichgauer.

Leipzig and Hoffenheim played out a 2-2 German Bundesliga draw in August and, because that game took place at the  Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena home stadium of the latter, one rates the former as having edged it on points. According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Leipzig holds a 10-1-6 lead over Hoffenheim including the direct head-to-head result five months ago, an advantage that supports the ladder on which the teams are separated by eight points. If anything, Leipzig’s superiority over Hoffenheim is greater than the German Bundesliga ladder suggests and that is one reason for picking the Red Bulls.

Another reason for siding with Leipzig at -112  with 888Sport is that it is 7-1-0 in its eight German Bundesliga home matches and it was six minutes away from getting the better of Monchengladbach in the game that it drew. Hoffenheim is just 3-5-0 in its eight German Bundesliga away matches and its victories have come against Leverkusen, Augsburg and Ingolstadt. Admittedly, Hoffenheim did manage to draw 1-1 at Bayern Munchen in the German Bundesliga but the Kraichgauer have visited only three of the top 10 teams at the season’s halfway point.

Another German Bundesliga home side on which one is keen to bet given the available odds is Wolfsburg, which will roll out the red carpet for Augsburg on Saturday. Marathonbet is offering odds of +103  about a fourth German Bundesliga win in a row for Wolfsburg after its watershed 0-5 loss at Bayern Munchen two weeks before Christmas.

Wolfsburg has toppled Frankfurt, Monchengladbach and Hamburg in recent German Bundesliga rounds, victories that have enabled it to obtain a 9-0-8 collateral form edge over Augsburg. Wolfsburg won 2-0 at Augsburg when the teams clashed in the first round of the tournament, the Wolves netting goals in both halves to post a road triumph.

Augsburg is 4-6-7 in the German Bundesliga overall but it is 0-6-6 in its 12 divisional games versus sides ranked higher than it on the ladder. One opposed Augsburg at home to Hoffenheim and one is sticking with one’s ploy of betting against Manuel Baum’s team in the German Bundesliga again.

Finally, one is selecting under two and a half goals in Saturday’s German Bundesliga match between Darmstadt and Koln, an option that is trading at odds of -149  with Paddy Power. Darmstadt is the German Bundesliga’s lowest scorer with 11 goals and just Bayern Munchen has conceded fewer league goals than Koln’s 15.

Eleven of Darmstadt’s 17 German Bundesliga games have gone under two and a half goals, including seven of its nine home matches. Ten of Koln’s 17 German Bundesliga games have gone under two and a half goals, including five of its nine away matches. August’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture between Koln and Darmstadt resulted in a 2-0 home win for the Billy Goats that the victorious side dominated throughout. Last term’s German Bundesliga game between Darmstadt and Koln in the state of Hesse failed to produce a single goal.

Tips Summary

RB Leipzig to beat Hoffenheim
Saturday 28th January, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -112

Wolfsburg to beat Augsburg
Saturday 28th January, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +103

Darmstadt v Koln – Under 2.5 Goals
Saturday 28th January, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -149


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