Really Keen on Madrid to Win El Clasico

El Clasico

El Clasico is the world’s biggest domestic football game and one thinks that Real Madrid has an excellent opportunity to win Saturday’s match and leapfrog Barcelona at the top of the Spanish Primera Division ladder following 12 rounds.

One of the great standing dishes of soccer betting has been both teams to score in El Clasico, with that option paying out in each of the last 18 games between Real Madrid and Barcelona across various competitions. One has to go back to a UEFA Champions League match in April 2011 for the last time that either Real Madrid or Barcelona kept an El Clasico clean sheet – for the record, Barca beat the Meringues 2-0.

That statistical streak may continue but one is not willing to take relatively short odds about it because Real Madrid has conceded only one goal in its seven home games across all competitions under Rafael Benitez and, while there are reports that Barcelona may line up with Lionel Messi in its ranks, the Argentina international would not be 100 per cent fit if he were to feature alongside Neymar and Luis Suarez.

Real Madrid boasts an absolutely formidable home record – it has not lost a meaningful Santiago Bernabeu match since it slumped to a 1-2 loss to Atletico in September 2014 – and last season’s Spanish Primera Division game between the Meringues and Barcelona in the capital resulted in a 3-1 victory for the hosts. All things considered, one thinks that Real Madrid is well priced at odds of +155 with Coral to defeat a Barcelona side that has failed on the road to Spanish Primera Division rivals Celta and Sevilla already. Home advantage is huge in El Clasicos.

One of the most popular El Clasico betting options is on the man in black, so let us focus on the record of the referee, David Fernandez Borbalan, in derby matches. Saturday’s El Clasico will be Fernandez Borbalan’s third time in the middle of a game between Real Madrid and Barcelona – he brandished nine yellow cards and three red cards when Barca beat the Meringues 3-2 in a 2011 Spanish Supercopa de Espana match and he showed seven yellow cards in a Spanish Primera Division clash later that year that resulted in another Barca win, this time by a 3-1 score. According to one’s research, Fernandez Borbolan has refereed 19 Spanish games that one would class as genuine derbies and he has waved 120 yellow cards and 10 red cards in those matches. Six of the last eight such games that Fernandez Borbolan has controlled have featured at least one red card.

Away from El Clasico and the other Spanish Primera Division bets that take one’s fancy are Valencia to beat Las Palmas on Saturday and under 10 and a half corner kicks in the match between Betis and Atletico Madrid on Sunday.

Both Valencia and Las Palmas are coming off Spanish Primera Division victories but there was considerably more merit to the former’s 5-1 win at Celta than the latter’s 2-0 win at home to a Sociedad team that failed to save David Moyes from the unemployment line. Las Palmas has accrued one point from its five Spanish Primera Division away games and it is hard to fathom how the Yellows managed that because the match statistics out of their 3-3 draw at Celta were lopsided.

Valencia has not lost at home to a Spanish side since going down 0-1 to Barcelona 12 months ago so Los Che – there is no English translation – are on one’s list at odds of -189 with Betfred to defeat Las Palmas.

Marathonbet and other bookmakers will get around to offering odds (confirmed at -200 ) about under 10 and a half corner kicks in Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division game between Betis and Atletico Madrid. Only Las Palmas has had fewer Spanish Primera Division corner kicks than Betis – 34 versus 41 – and no side has conceded fewer league corners than Atletico’s total of 38.

Six of the 11 Spanish Primera Division matches that Betis has played have gone under 10 and a half corner kicks, including three of its five home games. Eight of Atletico Madrid’s 11 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under 10 and a half corner kicks, including four of its five away games. Atletico does not force many corner kicks for a team that is challenging for Spanish Primera Division honours.

Tips Summary

Real Madrid to beat Barcelona
21st November 17:15 GMT
Odds: +155

Valencia to beat Las Palmas
21st November 21:00 GMT
Odds: -189

Betis v Atletico Under 10.5 corners
22nd November 19:30 GMT
Odds: -200

El Clasico
Las Palmas
Real Madrid

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