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Real Value in Meringues Winning La Liga El Clasico
Eric Roberts 2016-12-02 in Football Tips
Barcelona versus Real Madrid is the biggest domestic game in football and one thinks that the Meringues are a crazy price to silence the Camp Nou by claiming an away win over Barca.
Real Madrid has won on two of its last three visits to the Camp Nou, including triumphing 2-1 in last season’s Spanish Primera Division clash at the famous stadium. Real fought back from 0-1 down and Cristiano Ronaldo’s scored its winning goal two minutes after Sergio Ramos saw red.
Barcelona is running second to Real Madrid in the Spanish Primera Division but there is a considerable difference between their respective results. Barcelona and Real have lined up against eight common Spanish Primera Division opponents and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, Barca trails the Meringues 2-0-6. That is a clear numerical sign that Barcelona is significantly inferior to Real this season and yet bookmakers are betting on this weekend’s Spanish Primera Division blockbuster as though Barca is superior to the Meringues.
Bet365 is offering odds of 16/54.20+3203.203.20-0.31 about Real Madrid beating Barcelona in the 14th round of Spanish Primera Division matches and, by any measure, that is a ridiculous price about the Meringues increasing their league margin over Barca to a potentially title-winning nine points.
One of the beauties of taking a punt on Real Madrid at odds of 16/54.20+3203.203.20-0.31 is that the Meringues are unlikely to die wondering even though they are visiting one of the world’s strongest sides. Real has scored in regulation time in each of its last 11 Camp Nou games across all competitions so the Meringues have a history of fighting fire with fire. Therefore, there is a strong argument for supporting Real at odds of 16/54.20+3203.203.20-0.31 when one’s tissue price was much closer to the 2/13.00+2002.002.00-0.50 mark.
Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match between Granada and Sevilla is a derby but that is insufficient to stop one backing the Red and Whites at odds of 83/1001.83-1200.83-1.200.83 with Betfair and William Hill to register a win.
Sevilla has done enough in one’s eyes to suggest that no longer is it off limits away from home and, according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Jorge Sampaoli’s attack-minded side is vastly superior to Granada. Sevilla and Granada have had 12 common Spanish Primera Division foes and the Red and Whites enjoy a 9-2-1 advantage over the Nasrids. Granada is bottom of the Spanish Primera Division ladder without a win in the first 13 rounds and it has lost at home to Athletic and Eibar already.
Finally, Valencia does not boast sufficient positive Spanish Primera Division form to warrant being odds on to get the better of Malaga in their Sunday showdown at the Mestalla.
Valencia and Malaga have had 10 common Spanish Primera Division opponents and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Bats trail the Anchovies 3-2-5. Malaga has not won any of its last nine Spanish Primera Division away matches so, rather than laying Valencia, there is better value in punting the draw at odds of 73/253.92+2922.922.92-0.34 with Marathonbet.
Malaga held Barcelona to a 0-0 Spanish Primera Division road draw earlier this season and Valencia has not beaten a team ranked higher than 13th on the league ladder. Malaga is 11th with an overall Spanish Primera Division record of 5-4-4.
Real Madrid to beat Barcelona
Saturday 3rd December, 15:15 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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