Real Madrid and Getafe will kick off the 14th Spanish Primera Division round and one thinks that backing the Meringues to run out easy winners of Saturday’s match represents the best way to bet on the entire program.
There is a cliche that form goes out of the window in derbies but it does not appear to be the case when Real Madrid and Getafe, two of the four Spanish Primera Division sides based in the capital’s metropolitan area, clash. Real thrashed Getafe 7-3 in the latest Spanish Primera Division game between the neighbours, the Meringues have won each of their last five matches versus the Deep Blues by three or more goals and they have posted seven consecutive home wins over their rivals, four of them by at least two goals.
Football personalities are lining up to take a shot at Real Madrid manager Rafael Benitez, with former Cadiz coach David Vidal saying that the former Liverpool boss is treating the Meringues job as if he was in charge of Getafe – Vidal was not being complimentary towards the Deep Blues, either. It may transpire that Benitez was the wrong manager for the Real position and it is going to take a big turnaround for the Meringues to win the Spanish Primera Division after it blew its home game against Barcelona in spectacular fashion. But Getafe is one of those Spanish Primera Division teams that cannot live with the championship contenders when the big guns are firing on anything close to all cylinders, especially when the Deep Blues are on their travels.
Getafe’s Spanish Primera Division away record is terrible. Getafe has not won a Spanish Primera Division road match at the ground of a current top-flight side since it defeated Deportivo 2-1 in October 2014 – what has followed has been zero wins, three draws and 14 losses against such teams, including a series of heavy defeats to heavyweights such as Barcelona (0-6), Real Madrid (3-7) and Sevilla (0-5).
Real Madrid does not have to worry about its midweek UEFA Champions League Group A game versus Malmo but it will win the section regardless of its result against the Swedish Allsvenskan side. Therefore, Real can give 100 per cent versus Getafe in the Spanish Primera Division, with some bookmakers offering close to even money – SkyBet is listing odds of 91/1001.91-1100.91-1.100.91 – about the Meringues minus two goals. As one highlighted earlier, that bet would have won in each of the last five matches between Real and Getafe since 2013.
The Spanish Primera Division ladder positions of Deportivo and Sevilla are a surprise to most people but they are not down to the former having an easy schedule and the latter having a much tougher one, which means that one thinks that bookmakers are trading with the wrong game favourite.
Deportivo and Sevilla have had eight common Spanish Primera Division opponents and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, Super Depor enjoys a 7-1 lead over the Red and Whites when one factors in that Saturday’s match will take place in A Coruna. Marathonbet is offering odds of 53/253.12+2122.122.12-0.47 about fifth-placed Deportivo beating 10th-placed Sevilla, odds that are plainly wrong in one’s view. And while Sevilla’s UEFA Champions League hopes have been extinguished, its midweek Group D game against Juventus does present it with a chance of qualifying for the UEFA Europa League, the competition that it won in Poland last season. Deportivo are not the only Spanish team we like at long odds. We’ve dedicated another article to looking at some long shot bets this weekend, so make sure you check it out.
Finally, there is a strong case for backing under 10 and a half corner kicks in Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match between two struggling teams, Gijon and Las Palmas.
Eight of Gijon’s 13 Spanish Primera Division games have gone under 10 and a half corner kicks, including three of its six home matches. Gijon is averaging 4.31 corner kicks for and 5.23 corners against in the Spanish Primera Division. Las Palmas has played 13 Spanish Primera Division games as well, with 12 of them going under 10 and a half corner kicks – the exception was its home match versus Villarreal. Las Palmas is averaging 3.69 corner kicks for and 4.31 corners against in the Spanish Primera Division – only Atletico Madrid’s games have a mean that is lower than its one of 8.00. So keep your eyes peeled for Bet365 because their corner-kick lines will be interesting.
Real Madrid -2 to beat Getafe
5th December 15:00 GMT
Deportivo to beat Sevilla
5th December 21:00 GMT
Gijon v Las Palmas Under 10.5 corners
6th December 17:15 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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