Real Madrid to win high-scoring derby at Rayo Vallecano

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Real Madrid may not be able to match its 9-1 Spanish Primera Division home win over Granada when it visits Rayo Vallecano in the 30th round of games but another goalfest is likely.

Cristiano Ronaldo scored five of Real Madrid’s nine goals in its Spanish Primera Division spanking of Granada to leapfrog Lionel Messi on the league’s scoring ladder. Two of Real Madrid’s 29 Spanish Primera Division matches have reached double digits – the other one was its 8-2 away victory over Deportivo in which Ronaldo helped himself to a hat-trick – and its Wednesday derby versus Rayo Vallecano has the makings of a high-scoring game given all the data.

Only Real Madrid and Barcelona have featured in more Spanish Primera Division matches that have gone over two and a half goals than Rayo Vallecano – the tallies are 22 out of 29 for Real, 18 out of 29 for Barca and 16 out of 29 for Rayo. One of those Spanish Primera Division games that went over two and a half goals was the reverse fixture between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in November that ended in a 5-1 win for the Meringues in which six different players bagged goals and, yes, Ronaldo was one of them, notching the last one.

Some derbies can be cagey affairs but matches between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano have a history of being hugely entertaining, with each of the last three meetings of the neighbours going over four and a half goals. Rayo Vallecano is ninth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder – 12 points below sixth-placed Villarreal and 13 points above Almeria in 18th place – so it has little for which to play and so one expects it to throw caution to the wind against its local rivals. After all, Rayo Vallecano cannot fancy its chance of shutting out Real Madrid so it must go into the Spanish Primera Division game thinking that it will need to score two or more goals to have a shot at winning the match.

Bwin is laying bets at odds of -333  that the Spanish Primera Division game between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid goes over two and a half goals but the same bookmaker’s odds of -133  about over three and a half goals make more appeal.

Also attractive are Bwin‘s odds of +135  about Real Madrid beating Rayo Vallecano but conceding at least one goal in the process. Real Madrid has conceded at least one goal in nine of its 15 Spanish Primera Division away matches.

Neither Deportivo nor Cordoba has won a Spanish Primera Division game for two months and they meet in a massive match towards the foot of the ladder on Wednesday.

Cordoba made it 10 consecutive Spanish Primera Division losses when it slumped to a 0-2 home defeat against Atletico Madrid on Saturday and the cellar dweller is still feeling the after effects of having three players sent off versus Sociedad in the 28th round of games. The outlook for Cordoba is as bleak as it gets, eight points from safety with nine rounds remaining and players still serving suspensions.

Deportivo held Cordoba to a 0-0 Spanish Primera Division draw in November in spite of playing away from home with 10 men for more than two-thirds of the match. Deportivo’s form is not as dreadful as that of Cordoba and one thinks that it can post a win at odds of -125  with Betfred and Totesport.

Tips Summary

Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid Over 3.5 goals / Madrid Win & BTTS
8th April 21:00 GMT
Odds: -133  /  +135
Where to Bet: Bwin

Deportivo to beat Cordoba
8th April 19:00 GMT
Odds:  -125
Where to Bet: Betfred, Totesport

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