Real Madrid has scored five or more goals in three of its first four games under Zinedine Zidane and one rates a bet on the Meringues whipping Granada by more than one goal as the best wager in the 23rd Spanish Primera Division round.
Odds of -125 with SkyBet about Real Madrid registering a confortable Spanish Primera Division victory over Granada on Sunday appear generous given the respective ladder positions of the teams and the recent history of the fixture. Granada rode its luck to get away from the Santiago Bernabeu with a mere 0-1 Spanish Primera Division loss in Round Four but the previous league encounter between the teams resulted in a 9-1 home win for Real Madrid in which Cristiano Ronaldo scored five goals, including a nine-minute hat-trick.
Real Madrid has beaten Deportivo 5-0, Gijon 5-1 and Espanyol 6-0 since Zidane, who spent five years playing in midfield for the Meringues, succeeded Rafa Benitez last month. Real Madrid could only drew 1-1 at Betis but that Spanish Primera Division match was one that the Meringues dominated in which their hosts scored with their only genuine opportunity. Real Madrid’s attack is the Spanish Primera Division’s deadliest – 64 goals in 22 games is 10 more than Barcelona has scored, albeit in one fewer match – and Granada’s defence is the league’s second worst having leaked 44 goals in 22 games, keeping just one clean sheet in the championship so far.
Twelve of Real Madrid’s 22 Spanish Primera Division matches have resulted in the Meringues winning by more than one goal and that is despite them coming up short in each of their five games versus fellow top-six sides. Eight of Granada’s 22 Spanish Primera Division matches have resulted in the Nasrids losing by more than one goal and they have yet to earn a point from their five games against top-four teams.
One has sworn never to back Valencia again after it lost 0-1 at home to Gijon to extend Gary Neville’s wait for his first Spanish Primera Division victory in charge of the men from the Mestalla. However, one cannot resist picking Valencia to feature in a low-scoring Spanish Primera Division match on Sunday when Neville’s side takes on Betis in Seville.
Betis and Valencia have identical Spanish Primera Division records when it comes to two and a half goals, with 14 of each team’s 22 games going under the popular line. Drill a little deeper and one finds that Betis is 6-4 under two and a half goals in its 10 Spanish Primera Division home matches and Valencia is 8-3 under that line in its 11 away games. It does not hurt one’s case for a bet that is available at odds of -133 with Marathonbet that September’s Spanish Primera Division match between Valencia and Betis was goalless.
Betis is without a win in any of its last 12 games across all competitions, while Valencia’s Spanish Primera Division winless streak stands at 11. Neither Betis nor Valencia is high on confidence and both teams are in danger of being dragged kicking and screaming into the Spanish Primera Division relegation scrap if they do not improve soon.
There is not a overly strong statistical case for betting on Barcelona to beat Levante by more than one goal in Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match but one is talking about top visiting bottom and the gap in quality is substantial as Barca demonstrated when they won the reverse fixture 4-1.
Barcelona’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Levante is 14-3-1 – Barca have yet to play Gijon – so the ladder leader is entitled to be shorter odds than SkyBet’s -161 to post a two-plus-goal win over the Frogs.
Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form figures for every one of Round 23’s games. An asterisk signifies that the side enjoys a head-to-head advantage.
Malaga 11-0-8* versus Getafe
Atletico 10*-3-6 versus Eibar
Vallecano 8*-2-9 versus Las Palmas
Athletic 8-0-11* versus Villarreal
Gijon 4*-3-11 versus Deportivo
Levante 1-3-14* versus Barcelona
Betis 5*-4-10 versus Valencia
Celta 7*-3-9 versus Sevilla
Granada 3-1-15* versus Real Madrid
Espanyol 9*-1-9 versus Sociedad
Real Madrid -1 to beat Granada
7th February 19:30 GMT
Betis v Valencia Under 2.5 goals
7th February 15:00 GMT
Barcelona -1 v Levante
7th February 11:00 GMT
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