Real Madrid to ease up on Eibar after half time

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An exotic bet is what caught one’s eye when assessing the weekend round of Spanish Primera Division matches and it involves Real Madrid’s home game versus Eibar on Saturday.

Eibar ought to pose no problem to Real Madrid posting its 24th Spanish Primera Division win. After all, Real Madrid thrashed Eibar 4-0 in November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture, the Meringues have dropped a paltry five home points and the Gunsmiths have accrued just two points from their last six divisional away matches, scoring only two goals on those half a dozen road games. Bookmakers are spot on to quote Real Madrid at odds shorter than -1000 .

Real Madrid is available at odds of -250  with BetVictor to lead Eibar at half time and full time of Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match but one thinks that, while that bet is likely to pay dividends, there is better value elsewhere. One expects that Real Madrid would like to put Eibar to bed inside the first 45 minutes because the Meringues have their biggest game of the season – away to Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League – scheduled for Tuesday. In an ideal world, Real Madrid would like to rest their guns for as much of Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match as possible but the Meringues cannot afford any slip ups because that they are four points behind Barcelona with eight rounds to go.

One thinks that Real Madrid will go for Eibar’s jugular from the first whistle and, therefore, one’s idea of the best bet on the Spanish Primera Division coupon is Real Madrid’s highest scoring half to be the first half at odds of +188  with Bet365. That makes much more appeal than the odds of -250  about the Real Madrid-Real Madrid double result.

Deportivo is in one’s bad books after its failure to inflict yet another Spanish Primera Division defeat on Cordoba when the teams drew 1-1 on Wednesday. Deportivo can redeem itself by extending its Spanish Primera Division run without a win to nine games with a loss at Sociedad on Sunday, an option that is trading at odds of -110  with Coral and WilliamHill.

Sociedad is incapable of winning a Spanish Primera Division away match – its road record of one win, seven draws and seven losses is the league’s second worst, which is awful for a side ranked 11th, 12 points above the relegation zone – but it has won eight of its 15 home games and Deportivo’s away scoring statistics are the division’s lowest – Depor have managed to bag just seven goals on their travels.

November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture between Sociedad and Deportivo resulted in a 0-0 draw in which the David Moyes-coached team arguably had the better chances so one expects it to achieve its ninth league home victory.

Finally, the most attractive Spanish Primera Division goals play is under two and a half goals in Saturday’s match between Almeria and Granada, a bet that is trading at odds of -175  with many bookmakers, including Bet365 and Boylesports. Nine of Almeria’s 14 Spanish Primera Division home games have gone under two and a half goals, with it contributing only 10 goals. Just seven of Granada’s 15 Spanish Primera Division away matches have gone under two and a half goals but it has netted just 11 goals itself. So, basically, Almeria is a low home scorer, Granada is a low away scorer and one thinks that the latter may play ultra conservatively considering that its last Spanish Primera Division road game resulted in a 1-9 loss to Real Madrid.

Tips Summary

Real Madrid v Eibar – Highest Scoring Half (1st half)
11th April 15:00 GMT
Odds:  +188
Where to Bet: Bet365

Sociedad to beat Deportivo
12th April 18:00 GMT
Odds:  -110
Where to Bet: Coral, WilliamHill

Almeria v Granada Under 2.5 goals
11th April 21:00 GMT
Odds:  -175
Where to Bet: Bet365, Boylesports

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