There is no standout pick in the 31st round of Spanish Primera Division matches but there is a value case for backing Betis to get the better of Eibar on Saturday.
Betis lost 0-5 at Eibar in November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture but nothing went right for the Green and Whites in that game, conceding an own goal in the sixth minute and copping the double whammy of a red card and a penalty kick early in the second half that enabled the Gunners to blow apart the match.
One is willing to put a pen through that Spanish Primera Division result and look at the season as a whole to judge the respective merits of Betis and Eibar and what one finds is that the Green and Whites should be shorter odds to boost their push for a UEFA Europa League spot with a home win over the Gunners this weekend.
According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Betis and Eibar have performed equally well against most of the league’s top teams but, when it comes to results versus the top flight’s lesser lights, the Green and Whites have fared much better than the Gunners. Betis boasts an overall 9-4-6 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Eibar after the progressive count was 4-4-4 as one worked one’s way down the ladder. One is convinced that Betis is superior to Eibar, albeit not by a particularly great margin, but bookmakers are betting as though the Green and Whites are inferior to the Gunners. The Spanish Primera Division ladder does not say that and nor does one’s number crunching, so back the home side at +130 with Betway.
Celta forward Maxi Gomez is suspended for his team’s Spanish Primera Division home game against Sevilla on Saturday but one cannot pass up the opportunity to support the Sky Blues given odds of +120 with BetVictor, and their collateral form statistics.
Gomez has scored 13 Spanish Primera Division goals for Celta, including 10 at home, so he is significant absentee for the Sky Blues but they rate well versus a Sevilla side backing up from its 1-2 UEFA Champions League home loss to Bayern Munchen on Tuesday. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Celta enjoys a 13-0-6 advantage over Sevilla and the progressive counts include leads of 4-0-0, 5-0-1, 6-0-3 and 13-0-5. To put it bluntly, Celta is better than Sevilla and one does not care what the Spanish Primera Division ladder says. Gomez opened the scoring for Celta in November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture before Sevilla fought back to register a 2-1 home win.
Barcelona is the Spanish Primera Division banker bet of the 31st round of matches but no-one is going to get rich backing Barca to defeat 14th-ranked Leganes and, while one thinks that Real Madrid is superior to Atletico Madrid, bookmakers are not offering fair odds about the Meringues whipping the Mattressmakers in the weekend’s biggest of big games. So one’s third and final Spanish Primera Division wager was a toss-up between Getafe and Girona, with one opting for the former at odds of +250 with BetVictor.
Getafe thrashed Alaves 4-1 in November’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture so the Deep Blues tick the head-to-head box. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis Getafe holds a 12-2-5 lead over Alaves and that includes progressive counts of 5-0-1, 9-0-3 and 11-0-4 so there is substance to the figures of the Deep Blues over the Babazorros. Bookmakers are acknowledging that Getafe is superior to Alaves but one thinks that the Deep Blues are not receiving quite enough respect from the satchel swingers.
Real Betis to beat Eibar
Saturday 7th April, 17:30 GMT
Celta Vigo to beat Sevilla
Saturday 7th April, 15:15 GMT
Getafe to beat Alaves
Saturday 7th April, 12:00 GMT