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Pochettino’s Men Too Much for Roy’s Lowly Eagles
Carl Wright 2018-11-09 in Football Tips
Crystal Palace v Tottenham – 10th November – 17:30 GMT
Off the back of a thrilling Champions League win in midweek over PSV, this weekend Tottenham make the short trip to Selhurst Park to face Crystal Palace. And having given themselves an outside chance of salvaging their European dream, the mood in the Lilywhites’ camp, despite all the setbacks, will be buoyant.
The Eagles, by contrast, go into the game following a run of five defeats and a draw. Even the presence of the talismanic Wilfred Saha – who’s been in the team throughout this run – has not been enough to arrest their fortunes but they will cling onto the recent draw against Arsenal at Selhurst as inspiration for this game.
That afternoon, the Eagles went toe-to-toe with the high-flying Gunners and emerged with a well deserved 2-2 draw, and it will be that same resolve that Roy Hodgson’s men will need at the weekend if they are to get even a point.
In addition to their upturn in Champions League fortunes, Spurs are in great form on the road and have won six of their seven Premier League matches away from Wembley. A win at Selhurst will make it six away wins on the bounce in all domestic competitions.
TOP TIPS! – Spurs to win 2-0 @ 17/29.50+8508.508.50-0.12 / Draw HT – Spurs FT @ 15/44.75+3753.753.75-0.27
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In terms of team news, other than long-term absentees, Christian Benteke and Scott Dann, Palace have no fresh injury concerns, although for Spurs, a midweek injury to Mousa Dembele sees him join Danny Rose, Eric Dier, Victor Wanyama and Jan Vertonghen in their Enfield treatment room.
Interestingly, five of Spurs’ last six wins against the Eagles have been 1-0s, and so those who like to base their bets on historic patterns will be tempted by this score, especially at 7/18.00+7007.007.00-0.14 , and this is supported by the fact that nine of the last 11 matches between these two teams have produced fewer than three goals.
So, we are not anticipating a goal-fest but we do have a strong sense that Spurs will have too much for the south Londoners. Palace have failed to score in four of their five home games so far this season and have managed just three goals in their last 10 league games against Spurs.
In addition, Tottenham have kept three clean sheets in their last five league matches, so we see Spurs weathering an early storm and emerge relatively comfortable winners, with the 2-0 on offer with 188bet @ 17/29.50+8508.508.50-0.12 looking particularly enticing. Also tempting, given that we expect a tight first half, is a draw at half-time that becomes a Tottenham victory at full-time (15/44.75+3753.753.75-0.27 with Bet365).
Liverpool v Fulham Anfield – 11th November – 12:00 GMT
TOP TIP! – Liverpool to win 4-0 @ 37/58.40+7407.407.40-0.14 / Roberto Firmino first goalscorer @ 19/54.80+3803.803.80-0.26
When you are on a run of form like Fulham’s, Anfield is probably the last place you want to be heading – but that’s where the Cottagers go this weekend. A run of five straight Premier League defeats, which has seen them plummet to the foot of the Premier League, has caused much angst by the Thames and has made the tenure of manager Slavisa Jokanovic more than a little perilous.
Monday night’s damaging 1-0 defeat at Huddersfield saw the Yorkshire team jump above the Londoners in the table; the Cottagers having conceded a whopping 29 goals in just 11 games. It’s not hard to see where they need to improve.
So far, owner Shahid Khan has refused to bow to pressure to sack Jokanovic, but a defeat on Merseyside, especially a heavy one, may well force his hand.
More bad news for Fulham is that Liverpool themselves are coming into this game off the back of a defeat, after slipping to a disappointing 2-0 in Belgrade in midweek in the Champions League. Add to that, an equally disappointing draw from a winning position at the Emirates last Sunday, and Jurgen Klopp’s men will be desperate to return to winning ways.
Some good news for Liverpool is that influential midfielders Jordan Henderson and Naby Keita are both in line for a return to the team after missing out recently through hamstring injuries. Of Klopp’s midfield options, only long-term absentee Oxlade-Chamberlain remains on the Anfield treatment table.
In terms of head-to-heads in the Premier League, the two sides have met 26 times, with Liverpool winning 16 and Fulham six. Even more telling is that Fulham have won just once on Merseyside in 54 attempts.
So, a very tricky one on the cards for the Londoners and we cannot see past a comfortable afternoon for Klopp’s men, with the 37/58.40+7407.407.40-0.14 on offer from 188bet for 4-0 well worth a look. Also, Roberto Firmino at 19/54.80+3803.803.80-0.26 as first goalscorer with 888sport looks decent value.
Man United v Man City – 11th November – 16:30 GMT
TOP TIP! – United to win 2-1 @ 22/123.00+220022.0022.00-0.05 / Pogba anytime goalscorer @ 4/15.00+4004.004.00-0.25
We couldn’t finish without taking a quick look at the Manchester derby – especially with there now being a smile on the face of Jose Mourinho!
Unsurprisingly, City start as odds-on for the win and are clearly the quality side in the Premier League, but this is still a local derby, which are notorious for throwing up upsets, and this United team, for all the dramas, is stuffed full of quality.
So, we’re going bold on this and going for the United win! Paul Pogba will, we think, rise to the occasion and inspire the Red Devils to a narrow win, so we’re going 2-1 United 22/123.00+220022.0022.00-0.05 with Bet365, with the Frenchman as anytime goalscorer at 4/15.00+4004.004.00-0.25 with 888sport.
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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