Brazil has not lost a competitive match against Argentina on Brazilian soil since 1964 so one’s idea of the best bet of the latest batch of FIFA World Cup qualifying games is Tite’s team on the market known as draw no bet.
It has been 52 years since Argentina won a meaningful match versus Brazil in enemy territory, Roberto Telch bagging a brace in his country’s 3-0 win during the 1964 Nations Cup tournament. Argentina has enjoyed success in friendlies in Brazil in recent times but, when the result really matters, the White and Sky Blues have fallen short. Brazil is 8-3-0 in its last 11 competitive home games against Argentina.
Ten rounds into the marathon FIFA World Cup qualifying program in the CONMEBOL region and Brazil tops the ladder with a 6-3-1 record. Brazil is five points in front of fifth-placed Chile so it has a bit of breathing space because the top four sides will qualify automatically. However, Argentina does not have that luxury. Argentina finds itself in sixth position having lost home games to Ecuador and Paraguay. The pressure is on Argentina going into Thursday’s FIFA World Cup match in Belo Horizonte.
Argentina supporters will point out that their team has won each of its three FIFA World Cup games with Lionel Messi in its ranks and it is fair to say that the White and Sky Blues have not had much luck with their star man’s availability. But Brazil will be focused on shutting down Messi because, without him, Argentina has picked up seven points from its seven other FIFA World Cup matches. And one finds it tough to get away from the statistic that one highlighted above.
According to one’s FIFA World Cup collateral form analysis, Brazil enjoys a 6-0-3 advantage, including a 1-1 draw in November’s reverse fixture in spite of David Luiz’s late dismissal. Marathonbet is offering odds of -192 that Brazil gets the better of Argentina, returning your stake if the Brazilians earn a draw. That strikes one as a good wager.
Also in the CONMEBOL confederation, Colombia is interesting at odds of -110 with William Hill to beat Chile on Thursday.
Only one point separates Colombia and Chile on the FIFA World Cup qualifying ladder but one’s collateral form analysis tells a different story. Colombia holds a 5-1-3 FIFA World Cup collateral form lead over Chile, including a come-from-behind 1-1 draw in November’s reverse fixture.
Georgia has outperformed Moldova in their respective FIFA World Cup matches versus Ireland and Wales and not by a small margin, either. Georgia beat Scotland 1-0 at home during the UEFA Euro 2016 qualifying competition, whereas Moldova failed to win on the road during the same process. Moldova has won just one of its last 25 games and it was 1-0 victory over one of the world’s minnows, Andorra, in Malta.
Brazil to beat Argentina – Draw No Bet
Thursday 10th November, 23:45 GMT
Colombia to beat Chile
Thursday 10th November, 20:30 GMT
Georgia to beat Moldova
Saturday 12th November, 17:00 GMT