A kind draw, a manager on a mission and the competition’s best squad combine to make it worth supporting Manchester City in the latest English Capital One Cup title markets.
Manchester City is one of just five English Premier League teams in the last eight of the English Capital One Cup and the Citizens have been handed a home tie versus second-tier Hull in the quarter-finals, a match that is scheduled to fall between divisional matches against Southampton and Stoke so one expects them to field a strong side. Should Manchester City get past Hull then it would line up in a two-legged English Capital One Cup semi-final, with the final set for Wembley Stadium on Sunday 28 February. One would fancy Manchester City to be a very warm favourite given the other half a dozen teams left in the event.
Ladbrokes and PaddyPower are offering odds of +110 about Manchester City winning the English Capital One Cup for the fourth time in its history and, while the Citizens are the clear market leaders, that does not exclude them from representing good value. Some bookmakers have chalked up Manchester City at odds on and that is more like it.
The key to one’s enthusiasm for backing Manchester City to win the English Capital One Cup is Manuel Pellegrini. From the outside looking in it appears that Pellegrini has, yet again, decided that it is worth investing some skin in the English Capital One Cup. And it makes sense on many levels.
Many pundits did not expect Manchester City to kick off the season with Pellegrini as its boss. After all, last term was a major disappointment for Manchester City and its uber-rich benefactors, crashing out of the various cup tournaments to Barcelona, Middlesbrough and Newcastle and blowing its lead in the English Premier League to finish eight profits behind Chelsea. No titles could have equalled no job for Pellegrini but Manchester City, perhaps because Pep Guardiola was not available during the close season, chose to stick with him.
Pellegrini is a wise old owl and he knows that he will not survive another European summer if Manchester City draws a silverware blank this term. Consequently, one thinks that Pellegrini is targeting the English Capital One Cup because Manchester City has only had to win two ties to qualify for the last eight and, due to the apathy of England’s other big guns, it finds itself odds on with some bookmakers going into the quarter-finals. Win the English Capital One Cup and, provided that Manchester City has made it through to the UEFA Champions League knockout stage and remained in English Premier League title contention, Pellegrini should have a good chance of extending his Citizens contract.
The danger of betting on the English Capital One Cup is that many English Premier League sides field second-string teams in it but one would rate Manchester City’s starting line-ups versus Crystal Palace and Sunderland in this term’s earlier rounds as being not all that far off the best 11 players that were available. It does not make any sense whatsover for Pellegrini to take the early English Capital One Cup rounds seriously and then pick substandard sides at the business end of the competition. One is confident that Manchester City will not come up short in the English Capital One Cup because Pellegrini rested key players.
Sometimes it is too easy to talk oneself out of an obvious football futures wager, especially when the odds are around the even-money mark. But successful long-term betting is all about getting on one’s cash at odds that are over the top and, all things considered, Manchester City is too big at +110 . One cannot take issue with odds of -120 .
Man City to win Capital One Cup
continues 1st December 19:45 GMT