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Out of the UEFA Europa League having decided to put all its eggs into the Italian Serie A basket, Napoli is 100 percent focused on winning its domestic championship and it is over its true odds to beat Roma in Saturday’s late match.
In an Italian Serie A round full of glamour games – the program includes Lazio against Juventus, Milan versus Internazionale and Napoli’s clash with Roma – it is the match between the teams occupying the ladder’s first and fifth rungs that should interest value-conscious punters most. Napoli defeated Roma 1-0 in October’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture, the Partenopei are 21-3-1 after 25 rounds and the table-topping team boasts a 13-2-4 collateral form advantage over the Yellow and Reds. There is merit to the Italian Serie A collateral form edge that Napoli enjoys over Roma because second-ranked Juventus is the only side against which the Yellow and Reds has outperformed the Partenopei. Napoli are the pick at odds of 16/25 1.64 -156 0.64 -1.56 0.64 with Jetbull.
One’s Italian Serie A collateral form data points to a bet on Internazionale winning the Milan derby from San Siro’s away dressing room but one underestimated the Red and Blacks last weekend and the Black and Blues have won just two of their 11 last league games. Internazionale holds a 12-3-4 Italian Serie A collateral form lead over Milan and the former has fared better than the latter versus each of the teams ranked in the division’s top eight but one is going to sit out the San Siro showdown and wager on other matches.
One of those Italian Serie A games is Sunday’s match between Chievo and Sassuolo. Punters who rely upon the Italian Serie A ladder and the Italian Serie A ladder alone to make their punting decisions would probably skate over the game between Chievo and Sassuolo because the Flying Donkeys are trading at 29/20 2.45 +145 1.45 1.45 -0.69 with BetVictor. But one thinks that Chievo’s price is too big because the Flying Donkeys boasts a 10-1-8 Italian Serie A collateral form advantage over Sassuolo, including a 3-0-0 edge based on the results of matches featuring the league’s top three sides – Napoli, Juventus and Lazio – plus the Black and Greens will line up without one of their most influential players, suspended attacker Domenico Berardi. Chievo held Sassuolo to a 0-0 draw in October’s reverse Italian Serie A fixture so the head to head favours the Flying Donkeys over the Black and Greens.
Finally, one likes odds of 93/100 1.93 -108 0.93 -1.08 0.93 with Jetbull about Genoa beating Cagliari for the second time this Italian Serie A season when the former hosts the latter on Sunday. Similar to Chievo and Sassuolo, Genoa and Cagliari occupy nearby rungs on the Italian Serie A leader but the first named of the Red and Blues enjoys a 13-2-5 collateral form lead over their weekend opponents who share their colours, including progressive counts of 4-0-0, 7-1-2 and 12-1-4. Genoa has been triumphant in three of its last four meetings with Cagliari, including in both of clashes played in Genoa.
Below are one’s Italian Serie A collateral form numbers for each of the 10 games set for the 26th round of matches.
Napoli to beat Roma
Saturday 3rd March, 19:45 GMT
Odds: 16/25 1.64 -156 0.64 -1.56 0.64
Chievo to beat Sassuolo
Sunday 4th March, 14:00 GMT
Odds: 29/20 2.45 +145 1.45 1.45 -0.69
Genoa to beat Cagliari
Sunday 4th March, 11:30 GMT
Odds: 93/100 1.93 -108 0.93 -1.08 0.93
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