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Oppose Villarreal at End of Busy Travelling Week
Carl Wright 2018-10-04 in Football Tips
One’s patience with Villarreal has gone and, with the Yellow Submarine backing up only three days after their UEFA Europa League Group G game against Spartak Moskva in Russia, one is opposing them at Espanyol in the Spanish Primera Division.
Villareal dominated its last Spanish Primera Division match at home to Valladolid – the expected goals score was 2.91 versus 0.85 – but the Yellow Submarine somehow contrived to lose 0-1 to a White and Violets team that will be lucky to retain their top-flight status. Villarreal’s best is good enough to push for one of the Spanish Primera Division’s UEFA Champions League/UEFA Europa League berths but the Yellow Submarine’s worst, which it is more likely to serve up immediately following a hit-and-run visit to Russia than during a regular domestic week, is poisonous to punters.
Espanyol is seventh on the Spanish Primera Division ladder and the Budgerigars are a perfect three from three at their Barcelona base after posting wins to nil over Valencia, Levante and Eibar. According to Spanish Primera Division expected points, Espanyol and Valencia deserve to be on adjacent rungs of the ladder but, with the Budgerigars having a full week to prepare compared to the Yellow Submarine travelling several thousand kilometres and fulfilling a Thursday fixture, one fancies the hosts.
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Bookmakers are betting on Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division game between Espanyol and Villarreal as though the Yellow Submarine will rock up in Barcelona with a superior outfit to that of the Budgerigars so, for the reasons one has outlined above, the hosts represent excellent value at 5/42.25+1251.251.25-0.80 with Bet365.
Fans who watch Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division match between Sevilla and Celta should be entertained given the respective records of the sides so one recommends backing over two and a half goals, albeit at fairly short odds at 17/351.49-2060.49-2.060.49 with 888Sport.
Sevilla’s Spanish Primera Division games are averaging 3.29 goals and, according to expected goals, that mean should be even higher. Each of Sevilla’s last four Spanish Primera Division matches have gone over two and a half goals and, while one does not want to back the White and Reds to beat Celta backing up from their UEFA Europa League Group J trek to Russia to face Krasnodar, one has sufficient confidence in their attack to assist with going over the betting line.
Celta’s unexpectedly high Spanish Primera Division goals tally has contributed to its games averaging 3.14 and no match featuring the Sky Blues has gone under two goals.
You have to go back to February 2016 for the last time that Sevilla and Celta met and there were fewer than three goals, with each of their last five clashes across the Spanish Primera Division and the Spanish Copa del Rey satisfying punters who has wagered on over two and a half goals.
A frustrating Spanish Primera Division match for a neutral viewer may be Sunday’s game between fourth-ranked Atletico Madrid and fifth-ranked Betis. Atletico Madrid and Betis have taken part in 14 Spanish Primera Division matches this season and 11 of them have gone under two and a half goals, with the Mattressmen specialising in low-scoring games.
Both Atletico Madrid and Betis will be backing up from UEFA competition matches but neither side had to leave Spain this week. Each of last term’s Spanish Primera Division matches between Atletico Madrid and Betis went under two and a half goals ( available at odds of 7/101.70-1430.70-1.430.70 with BetVictor), with just one goal in 180 minutes of league action.
Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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