Crystal Palace is not the safest punting conveyance – after all, it is 16th on the English Premier League ladder with numbers of 9-4-16 – but the Eagles are overpriced to beat Southampton at St Mary’s Stadium on Wednesday.
Southampton represents terrible value at odds on to defeat Crystal Palace in the midweek English Premier League round. One can understand how the bookmaking fraternity has listed Southampton at odds on because, on the raw English Premier League ladder, the Saints are three points and six rungs in front of Crystal Palace despite being on the wrong end of fixture fulfillments. But that is because the English Premier League ladder is lying even at this late stage.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Southampton holds an 8-3-7 advantage over Crystal Palace, which in itself suggests that the ladder is not telling the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. So one is going to explain in detail why Crystal Palace is worth backing at odds of +450 with William Hill.
Southampton has outdone Crystal Palace in their respective English Premier League matches against Liverpool (third), Manchester City (fourth), Arsenal (sixth), Leicester (13th), West Ham (14th), Burnley (15th), Swansea (17th) and Sunderland (20th). Southampton and Crystal Palace have mirrored each other’s achievements in their respective English Premier League games versus Manchester United (5th), Everton (7th), Bournemouth (11st) and Watford (12th). And Crystal Palace has outperformed Southampton in their respective English Premier League clashes with Chelsea (first), Tottenham (second), West Bromwich (eighth), Stoke (ninth), Hull (18th) and Middlesbrough (19th), as well as taking out December’s reverse fixture by a 3-0 margin.
So bookmakers are asking punters to bet at odds on that a Southampton side that has outshone Crystal Palace against only two of the English Premier League’s top 12 teams and lost this season’s reverse fixture will turn the tables on the Eagles, one of the division’s bang-in-form outfits. You would go broke backing those sort of football favourites.
Sam Allardyce is doing what Big Sam does and overseeing an English Premier League escape mission. Crystal Palace has won four English Premier League games, including victories at West Bromwich and Chelsea, and so confidence is coursing through the veins of the Eagles players. Crystal Palace’s attack is ranked 10th for goals per English Premier League, which is well above Southampton’s positioning and what one wants to see if one is going to have a speculative wager. Central to Crystal Palace’s attack is Christian Benteke, the Belgium striker who netted twice when the Eagles thrashed Southampton 3-0 in English Premier League action four months ago. Benteke is a classic confidence player and he is coming off scoring Crystal Palace’s winning goal at Chelsea.
Whereas Crystal Palace is backing up from its best English Premier League result this term, Southampton is on a downer after failing to post a home success over Bournemouth in its derby date. Harry Arter missed a late penalty kick otherwise Bournemouth would have humbled Southampton in front of the masses of Saints supporters – the Cherries midfielder lost his footing as he struck the ball from 12 yards out.
Southampton’s home results across all competition since Christmas have been bitterly disappointing and, with its English Premier League season petering out, one would not back the Saints at odds on to get the better of Crystal Palace, not even with counterfeit cash. Realistically, Crystal Palace’s odds should be around the +250 mark.
Crystal Palace to beat Southampton
Wednesday 5th April, 19:45 BST
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