No Reason to look Beyond Bayern for German Cup

bayern DFB Pokal

The DFB Pokal (or German Cup to you and I) is at the quarter-final stage, with the ties to be played across Tuesday 7th and Wednesday 8th of April. Bayern Munich won the competition last season as they completed a domestic double, and although the 2nd, 3rd and 4th placed teams in the Bundesliga are all still in the competition, the German Champions have to be fancied to retain the trophy again this year.

The Quarter-final draw is as follows:

Tuesday 7th April

Wolfsburg v Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund v Hoffenheim

Wednesday 8th April

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich

Bielefeld v Borussia Monchengladbach

Wolfsburg are second in the Bundesliga and they face a home tie against 14th placed Freiburg. Dortmund are struggling in 10th position after their torrid season, but are still favourites to overcome 7th placed Hoffenheim, and this could be their best chance of qualifying for European football next season. 3rd placed Monchengladbach play the only non-Bundesliga side left in the competition, playing away at 3rd division leaders Bielefeld. Bayer Leverkusen are 4th in the Bundesliga, and they will provide stiff opposition for Bayern Munich in their quarter-final.

The current odds for winning the trophy are as follows:

Bayern Munich –  -118  with Bwin

The German Champions are simply imperious again this season, and they are already ten points clear at the top of the Bundesliga with seven games left to play. They’re through to the quarter-final of the Champions League after thrashing Shakhtar Donetsk 7-0 in the round of 16, and there’s an exciting few months ahead for Bayern fans. We tipped Bayern for the Champions League way back in November, and nothing we’ve seen since has put us off their chances. They are clear favourites for this competition, and there’s no reason why they can’t repeat the domestic double of last year and add the Champions League title as well. Bayer Leverkusen stand in the way of Pep Guardiola’s men and a semi-final slot, and if they overcome that challenge, their odds will quickly shorten.

Borussia Dortmund –  +400  with Betvictor

It’s been a topsy turvy season in Dortmund, and they spent much of it at the foot of the Bundesliga table. They’ve recovered sufficiently in the league and now occupy 10th place, but they’re too far off the pace to challenge for European qualification, and the cup represents their best chance. They’ve been handed a home tie against Hoffenheim, which is a relatively good draw considering the quality of the other sides left in the competition. It certainly won’t be easy though, and it’s hard to back Dortmund in any capacity at the moment such is their inconsistency.

Wolfsburg –  +700  with SkybetBetvictor and 888Sport

At the prices Wolfsburg, who are second in the Bundesliga, represent much better value than Dortmund. They’ve been having a great little season, and are 7 points clear of Monchengladbach in third. They’re also in the quarter-final of the Europa League after beating Inter Milan over two legs, and they’ll face another Italian side in Napoli. They’re strongly fancied to overcome Freiburg at home to secure a semi-final spot, and if the draw is kind to them, they could easily find themselves in the final. On the other side of the coin, this is perhaps their lowest priority competition, with Champions League qualification through the league a top priority, and a tilt at the Europa League 2nd on the list.

Borussia Monchengladbach –  +1100  with Boylesports

We’re quite keen on the chances of Monchengladbach, and it would be fitting if they could crown a surprisingly good season with European qualification and/or a trophy to show for it. They’ve confounded expectations in Germany to sit third in the table, and Dortmund’s loss could be their gain if they can hang on to Champions League qualification. They face an intriguing away game at 3. Liga leaders Bielefeld, but if they can come through that, a semi-final spot beckons. Bielefeld are clearly a club on the up and currently have a six point lead at the top of the German third division. They should be playing 2. Bundesliga football next season, and have shown they can be dangerous by beating Hertha Berlin and Werder Bremen en route to this quarter-final. Nonetheless, we would still expect Monchengladbach to progress to the semi’s, and for each-way backers, Boylesports stand out at  +1100  and will pay 1/3 of the odds for a top two finish.

Bayer Leverkusen –  +1500  with 888Sport

Leverkusen would also be our kind of each-way bet, but the fact that they face Bayern Munich in their quarter-final is a big put-off. For those who fancy them to turn over the German Champions, now would be the time to get on Leverkusen, as their odds will probably half if they get through to the semi-finals, but that’s a leap of faith we’re not prepared to take. They were knocked out of the Champions League by Atletico Madrid after extra-time recently, which confirms the suspicion that they are the kind of side that just fall short against the very top clubs in Europe. That’s hardly a criticism, but we do expect Bayern to get through this tie, despite their current injury problems.

Hoffenheim –  +3300  with Boylesports

Hoffenheim have done well to sustain a challenge in the top half of the Bundesliga this season, and they are the kind of unpredictable side who can beat anyone on their day. They face a tough quarter-final away at Dortmund, but they’re above Dortmund in the table and will fancy their chances of an upset. There have been worse  +3300  shots, and they could be a lively outsider if they can squeeze past Dortmund.

Freiburg –  +5000  with Boylesports

Freiburg have got it all to do to get a result away at Wolfsburg, and there’s little reason to recommend them for this competition. They’re still not safe from relegation, and they may well be resigned to concentrating on the league after this quarter-final.

Bielefeld –  +9000  with 888Sport

Bielefeld have had a great run and look set to take the third division title. They’ve punched above their weight in this competition, but they meet a team who have been doing the same all year in the Bundesliga. They might spring yet another surprise, but we fancy Monchengladbach to bring their cup dream to an end.

Tips Summary

We just can’t see beyond Bayern Munich, and another domestic double looks to be on the cards. For those who prefer an each-way outsider, our choice would be Borussia Monchengladbach at a decent price.

To win the German Cup 2014/15

Bayern Munich –  -118  with Bwin

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Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach
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