Genoa was on a run of five Italian Serie A games going over two and a half goals – a sequence spanning two seasons – before its 0-2 loss at Sassuolo on Sunday. Each of Napoli’s last eight competitive matches – also dating back to the previous campaign – has gone over two and a half goals.
No Italian Serie A team has either scored more goals or fired off more shots on target than Napoli and Genoa has been no slouch in the shooting department as well – the Red and Blues rank third for average shots and fourth for average shots on target. With regards to head-to-head data, three of the last four Italian Serie A games between Genoa and Napoli have gone over two and a half goals, including the most recent meeting that the Partenopei won 3-1.
Napoli has not had to rely on one player to score its goals this term – three men have hit the back of the net at least twice in Italian Serie A – so it ought to be mighty hard for Genoa to shut out the Partenopei. The fact that Napoli has kept just one clean sheet in its five meaningful matches should provide Genoa with a degree of optimism also.
The best bet on the midweek Italian Serie A program is over two and a half goals in Wednesday’s match between Genoa and Napoli, an option that is available at odds of 39/501.78-1280.78-1.280.78 with Marathonbet in spite of strong statistics.
Crotone’s stay in Italian Serie A looks likely to be very short lived and one thinks that the Pythagoreans may be on the end of some bad mathematics versus Roma on Wednesday.
Promoted from Italian Serie B after finishing runner-up in Italy’s second tier, Crotone picked up its first top-flight point when it drew 1-1 at home to Palermo on Sunday after experiencing losses to Bologna, Genoa and Empoli. Crotone has yet to tackle one of Italian Serie A’s big boys and one fears for the Pythagoreans if Roma clicks in the capital.
No Italian Serie A side has had more shots than Roma, while Crotone is averaging the fewest shots on target. Paddy Power is offering odds of 6/52.20+1201.201.20-0.83 about Roma covering a two-goal spread, a feat that it achieved when thrashing Udinese 4-0 at the Olimpico on Italian Serie A’s opening weekend.
Roma’s dodgy defence is a serious impediment to its chance of winning major honours but the Yellow and Reds ought to dominate possession and territory at home to Crotone, with the visitor not having the weapons to hurt its host.
Finally, Fiorentina is worthy of consideration at odds of 149/1002.49+1491.491.49-0.67 with Marathonbet to get the better of Udinese in their Italian Serie A argument at the Dacia Arena on Wednesday.
Fiorentina’s defensive approach paid dividends against Roma last time out and there is depth to its form – the Purples have not conceded a goal in winning two of their last three games across all competitions since losing 1-2 at Italian Serie A champion Juventus in the first round. Udinese has won two and lost two of its four Italian Serie A matches but there is very little depth to its form having defeated Empoli and Milan in between losses to Roma and Chievo.
Genoa v Napoli – Over 2.5 Goals
Wednesday 21st September, 19:45 GMT
Roma -2 to beat Crotone
Wednesday 21st September, 19:45 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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