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The English Premier League’s worst travellers, Queens Park Rangers and Burnley, hit the road as the competition resumes and both teams are worth backing to lose away from home.
Queens Park Rangers travels to Newcastle to play a Toon Army team that is marching to the beat of one drum. Five wins in a row across all competitions have taken a lot of pressure off Newcastle manager Alan Pardew, with Magpies supporters realising that there are dozens of English sides worse than their team and being anywhere on the top half of the English Premier League is acceptable given their relative resources.
As well as Newcastle has been playing recently, the bet is all about the poor road form of Queens Park Rangers. Zero points, two goals scored and 14 goals conceded tells one everything that one needs to know about how Queens Park Rangers is faring away from home in the English Premier League. Queens Park Rangers has the most porous defence in the division, leaking an average of two goals per game, a statistic that spells trouble on the road to a confident Newcastle side that knows how to beat its inferiors.
Newcastle is unbeaten against teams on the bottom half of the English Premier League ladder, accruing 15 of its 16 points from matches against such opponents. That statistic is something that Pardew’s detractors will use against him once Newcastle’s run of wins ends – and it will because the Magpies are not world beaters – but one does not think that Queens Park Rangers has the weapons to stop the Toon Army.
BetVictor is offering odds of 83/100 1.83 -120 0.83 -1.20 0.83 about Newcastle beating Queens Park Rangers in their English Premier League game at St James’ Park, odds that one think will have vanished into thin air by the time that the match kicks off on Saturday.
Only slightly less attractive are the odds of 7/10 1.70 -143 0.70 -1.43 0.70 available with BetVictor, Ladbrokes and Paddy Power about ninth-placed Stoke condemning bottom-of-the-ladder Burnley to its seventh English Premier League defeat since rejoining the elite.
Burnley is the English Premier League’s second lowest scorer with six goals from its 11 games and the Clarets are looking like a team that may live to regret gaining promotion, such is the gap between the bottom of the first division and the top of the second division in the modern era. The days of one or more promoted sides making a decent fist of life in the English Premier League may be coming to an end – the three promoted teams are the bottom three teams after 11 rounds and that is in spite of some headline-making wins.
Stoke’s English Premier League home record this season is not as good as it was last term, with the Potters looking well suited to playing on the road and hitting opponents on the break. However, Stoke has beaten Newcastle and Swansea at its Britannia Stadium and a repeat of either performance ought to be sufficient to defeat a Burnley side that has a 0-1-5 record versus English Premier League top-half teams.
Finally, Arsenal versus Manchester United at the Emirates Stadium has the makings of an English Premier League game full of goals. Neither Arsenal – just two clean sheets in its nine home matches across all competitions and one of them was against Burnley – nor Manchester United – only one clean sheet in its six away games across all competitions and it was versus Burnley – can stop high-class offences scoring goals so one likes the odds of 13/20 1.65 -154 0.65 -1.54 0.65 with Ladbrokes that both the Gunners and the Red Devils score a goal.
Newcastle to beat QPR
22nd November 15:00 GMT
Odds: 83/100 1.83 -120 0.83 -1.20 0.83
Where to Bet: BetVictor
Arsenal v Man Utd BTTS
22nd November 17:30 GMT
Odds: 13/20 1.65 -154 0.65 -1.54 0.65
Where to Bet: Ladbrokes